Oscar Predictions and Picks 2025

I love the Oscars. For the past eight years, I have made it my goal to watch every single film nominated for an Oscar, and this year I managed it with multiple weeks to spare. This season has been a wild ride of favorites and controversies, and while some of them have gone in my personal favor (Emelia Pérez dropping off of most categories is exactly what I wanted) others haven’t (The Brutalist), but regardless of where things land it has been an entertaining year to watch. Especially interesting this year is that there are very few locks going into the night which makes predicting difficult, but watching entertaining.

Short Film, Live Action

My Prediction: A Lien
My Pick: I’m Not a Robot

When I left the theater, A Lien was both my prediction and my pick and while part of me still believes that, the dry humor of I’m Not a Robot has just grown in my estimation, and is definitely the one that I’m most likely to revisit. A Lien, however, should fit the zeitgeist of the current political climate, and while the shorts are never a sure thing, I believe it will win.

Short Film, Animated

My Prediction: Beautiful Men
My Pick: Wander to Wonder

Wander to Wonder was the clear-cut favorite for me, but my guess is that the film about small children show creatures who live past their creator’s demise will be too weird and vulgar for the average academy winner and that the more earnest Beautiful Men will be awarded Sunday night.

Short Film, Documentary

My Prediction: Incident
My Pick: Incident

The most outraged I’ve been in theaters excepting my pick and prediction for feature documentary, Incident is a miraculous piece of editing painting a picture of racist, homicidal police officers and their natural instinct to lie and cover-up even when they know they are being filmed.

Visual Effects

My Prediction: Dune: Part Two
My Pick: Avatar: Dune: Part Two

In the year of the monkey movies (Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes, Better Man, and Wicked), I’m leaning towards the sand worm movie. The first one won in 2022 and I think that the sequel will bring it home again in 2025.

Makeup and Hairstyling

My Prediction: The Substance
My Pick: The Substance

Between the ever-withering Demi Moore, and the creation that is Monstro Elisasue, The Substance is loaded with the prosthetics that tend to convert into a win in this category.

Costumes

My Prediction: Wicked
My Pick: Nosferatu

While I didn’t especially care for Wicked, I don’t begrudge its near locked win for best costumes. I do personally prefer the vintage work for Nosferatu, but I’m fine with Wicked’s inevitable win.

Production Design

My Prediction: The Brutalist
My Pick: The Brutalist

While this is a really close category, I think a general rule of thumb for it is that if an architecture movie is nominated for production design, there is a good chance that it will win. When Attila (Alessandro Nivola) and László Tóth (Adrien Brody) open the bookshelves that László both designed and built, I believe that The Brutalist won this award.

Sound

My Prediction: Dune: Part Two
My Pick: Dune: Part Two

This category is heavily saturated with music-related films, and while I don’t think Emilia Pérez will end up splitting many of the votes from the others, I still think the most unique soundscape of Dune: Part Two should and will take this award.

Original Song

My Prediction: El Mal (Emilia Pérez)
My Pick: El Mal (Emilia Pérez)

While Emilia Pérez has for the most part become toxic to any awards consideration, this is one of two categories that I believe it will win. That means Diane Warren will once again fail to win a competitive Oscar as ‘The Journey’ (from the pretty awful film The Six Triple Eight) will likely come in second place.

Original Score

My Prediction: The Brutalist
My Pick: The Brutalist

I used to shout out films that I would pick that weren’t Oscar nominated, but stopped doing that a few years ago. That said, I’m going to call out the egregious snub that is Challengers missing out on this category. Don’t get me wrong, I do love the score to The Brutalist, and most years it would top my list. I just really think that Trent Reznor and Atticus Ross deserved another win this year.

Editing

My Prediction: Conclave
My Pick: Conclave

Editing is often seen as a precursor for best picture, and it is what is going to keep that award interesting into late in the evening. Conclave has the most propulsion from its editing of any of the nominated films, and I believe will win, though if Anora is on its way to a sweep, it could upset here.

Cinematography

My Prediction: The Brutalist
My Pick: The Brutalist

Shot in glorious VistaVision, The Brutalist is the best looking film of the year and should win this category pretty easily, even with Maria winning the ASC award.

Documentary Feature

My Prediction: No Other Land
My Pick: No Other Land

No Other Land has won every precursor award for best documentary, and in a normal, just world this wouldn’t be contentious. That said, the Oscars came under a little heat last year after Jonathan Glazer’s speech calling for a stop to Isreal’s practices of apartheid and genocide, so I see a world where The Academy cowers from recognizing a film about that very struggle. However, without a clear cut second place, I don’t believe that this will end up happening, but if it does I, and much of filmsky will be irate.

Animated Feature

My Prediction: The Wild Robot
My Pick: Flow

Flow was my favorite animated film of the year, and while it did surge at the right time, I still feel like the more traditional studio film will win out. The Wild Robot is the best film that DreamWorks Animation has ever produced, so them winning for it will hopefully result in more quality from them moving forward.

International Film

My Prediction: I’m Still Here
My Pick: Flow

It’s amazing what five weeks can do to a race. With 13 nominations overall, it seemed impossible for anything other than Emilia Pérez to win it. Now after the controversy surround that film, this film is still a lock, but for the Brazilian film I’m Still Here instead.

Adapted Screenplay

My Prediction: Conclave
My Pick: Conclave

The easier of the two screenplay categories, Conclave should win this without much competition as the other major players are all in original.

Original Screenplay

My Prediction: A Real Pain
My Pick: The Substance

Despite not getting a best picture nomination, I still believe that Jesse Eisenberg is likely to win this award for his A Real Pain script, but this is another category where if Anora is on its way to sweeping the ceremony it could upset here. My personal preference would be for the brash absurdity that is the screenplay for The Substance, but that winning seems rather unlikely.

Supporting Actor

My Prediction: Kieren Culkin (A Real Pain)
My Pick: Edward Norton (A Complete Unknown)

The least competitive of the acting categories, Kieren Culkin has won everything leading up to the Oscars and should continue that streak here. While I didn’t love A Complete Unknown, I do believe that Edward Norton was the best part of the film and would likely vote for him over Guy Pearce in The Brutalist.

Supporting Actress

My Prediction: Zoe Saldana (Emilia Pérez)
My Pick: Felicity Jones (The Brutalist)

The other category that Emilia Pérez will still win is a huge case of category fraud and Saldana is clearly the lead of the film. My personal preference would be for Felicity Jones to win for The Brutalist. She doesn’t appear until the halfway point of the film, but once she does she becomes the heart of an otherwise very cold film.

Lead Actor

My Prediction: Adrien Brody (The Brutalist)
My Pick: Adrien Brody (The Brutalist)

While there is no competition for my personal pick, Adrien Brody doesn’t have this completely wrapped up as Timothée Chalamet’s SAG win proved that this is not a given. That said, I think Brody will hold off the young actor and win his second statue.

Lead Actress

My Prediction: Demi Moore (The Substance)
My Pick: Mikey Madison (Anora)

Ten years ago, this would be an easy win for Mikey Madison as The Academy has historically awarded young ingenue in this category. Lately, however, more seasoned actresses have been able to win as we as a society have stopped recognizing women actresses for exclusively their youth and beauty. Because of that I believe Moore will hold on to win this year over Madison. And while there is also a chance that Fernanda Torres will come out of nowhere to win for I’m Still Here, I think she’s the least likely of the three to win.

Director

My Prediction: Brady Corbet (The Brutalist)
My Pick: Brady Corbet (The Brutalist)

All of the big four awards this year are close, and this might be the closest of the bunch. Often this category goes hand in hand with the next, but I’m not positive that that will be the case this year. Conclave isn’t even nominated in this category, and while Sean Baker and Anora is clearly the biggest competition for this award, I think The Brutalist is a more directorly film and the bigger risks taken by Corbet will end up winning him this award.

Picture

My Prediction: Anora
My Pick: The Brutalist

Its fun going into the night without a clear-cut winner for best picture unlike the previous two years. Conclave, The Brutalist, and Anora all could easily win this award and while The Brutalist is my clear favorite (it ended up at number 2 on my year end list), I’d be pretty happy with any of the three. I am expecting a split between this and director. If Anora does pick up this award, it will become only the fourth film ever to win the Oscar for best picture and the Palme d’Or at Cannes (joining The Lost Weekend, Marty and Parasite.)

The Best Films of the 2020s… So Far

We are halfway through the 2020s (where did the time go?) and so it seems like an appropriate time to look back at the films that have come out this decade so far. In these 5 years, I have seen over 500 feature films, so making a best of list is going to be difficult. To make things a little easier, on myself, I’m going to expand my normal year end list size from 25 to 50, but that still has me leaving more than 90% of the films I’ve seen this decade off the list. I like including a few statistics with my picks, so included on my list are 2 Best Picture Winners, 1 Palme d’Or winners, 20 features directed by non-men, and 19 non-English films. While many of these blurbs come straight from my thoughts on the year end list in which they originally appeared, some have been edited as my thoughts evolved, and a few of them are completely new entrants as I caught up with the films after my initial publishing.

50. Decision to Leave (2022, Dir. Park Chan-wook)

Park Chan-wook’s foray into neo-noir filmmaking proves that he is a master of all genres with a darker hint to them. Decision to Leave employs many of the genre’s staples: it stars a grizzled detective who falls in love with a femme fatal while attempting to solve a case she is related to. What the film utilizes that separates it from a sea of neo-noirs is a deft hand with melodrama. The melodrama never feels saccharine in Chan-wook’s hands, but they do elevate the attachment to characters and intrigue of the mystery.

49. The Souvenir: Part II (2021, Dir. Joanna Hogg)

While the sequel to my favorite film of 2019 does not quite live up to its predecessor, The Souvenir Part II was still one of the best films of the decade. Taking place in the aftermath of the first film, Joanna Hogg’s semi-autobiographical feature continues with many of the same themes. Julie (Honor Swinton Byrne) struggles to cope with the circumstances that have become her life, but between the support of her mother (played by the actress’s real life mother Tilda Swinton) and the outlet of her passion of filmmaking she persists. The film is a testament to the power we have to recover when guided by those things and people we love.

48. The Quiet Girl (2022, Dir. Colm Bairéad)

The Quiet Girl follows Cáit (Catherine Clinch) one of many siblings living in an overstuffed and impoverished household. Neglected by her family, she struggles in school and altogether lives a poor life. It’s only upon going to spend the summer with distant relatives that she is shown what love is and she begins to flourish. Watching Cáit slowly accept love into her life and emerge from her shell is the highlight of the film. The Quiet Girl manages to capture warmth and familial love in an extremely special way.

47. We’re All Going to the World’s Fair (2022, Dir. Jane Schoenbrun)

Before their breakout 2024 film I Saw the TV Glow (appearing later on this list), Jane Schoenbrun broke onto the indie filmmaking scene with this exploration of creepy pasta internet culture. Anna Cobb plays Casey, a young girl dives deep into the World’s Fair challenge and engages in the role playing aspects of it online with a mysterious user known as JLB (Michael J Rogers). The film is relatively narrativeless instead consisting largely of youtube clips running into one another, but still is tethered enough to the real world to extract some genuinely emotive performances, especially from the young Cobb. We’re All Going to the World’s Fair is a brilliant depiction of what it’s like to be alone in the current world.

46. Infinity Pool (2023, Dir. Brandon Cronenberg)

The best horror film of 2023 continues to prove that Brandon Cronenberg is more than just a nepo baby, he is an excellent film maker with his own style. Infinity Pool lingered with me, the creepy imagery, the complex themes, and especially the supporting performance from Mia Goth. The film is dark and twisted in a way that lingers in the mind for weeks after viewing. Alexander Skarsgård is excellent as the slimy failed author James, and as mentioned, Mia Goth as Gabi is impeccably deranged. The film explores what it means to be human in the most twisted ways imaginable.

45. Everything Everywhere All at Once (2022, Dir. The Daniels)

In their combined follow up to Swiss Army Man (2016) (Daniel Scheinert did have 2019’s The Death of Dick Long as a solo film in between), Daniels delivered a film just as if not more heightened than their feature debut, yet somehow more relatable to the mainstream, so much so that it won the top award at the 2023 Oscars. Everything Everywhere All at Once hinges on the performance of its lead Michelle Yeoh to take audiences on a journey to the edge of the world and to worlds beyond that. Yeoh delivers on those lofty goals and creates a perfect viewer conduit for the wild imaginations of Daniels.

44. Asteroid City (2023, Dir. Wes Anderson)

If you think Wes Anderson’s style is a little bit too much, then this is not the film for you. However, if you want to see Wes Anderson dive into his style headfirst and make the most Wes Anderson film ever, then you need to see Asteroid City. Consisting of multiple layers of storytelling, the film is a complex narrative that I’m still grappling with after only one watch. The innermost layer of the film, the one in color, is filled to the brim with interesting acting decisions and Anderson’s trademark production design. Yet it is the combination with the outer layers that elevate Asteroid City into one of Anderson’s best.

43. Broker (2022, Dir. Hirokazu Koreeda)

Koreeda has been making films since the early 90s, but it’s only really since his 2018 film Shoplifters that the Japanese auteur has become a household name in the US. Broker is the better of his two 2020s films (though I did enjoy 2023’s Monster). The film builds off of Shoplifters’ theme of love between unconventional families, as well as getting by on the edges of society. Mix in a little bit of thrills as two police officers follow the chosen family in hopes of catching them in the act of selling a baby and Broker has a perfect mix of excitement and sincerity.

42. Killers of the Flower Moon (2023, Dir. Martin Scorsese)

It is sacrilege to say this as a cinephile, but Scorsese has never really been my cup of tea. I respect him as a film maker, and I’ve never disliked his movies, they just have not resonated with me the way they do for most. That said Killers of the Flower Moon spoke to me in a way that most of his more recent films have not. While much of the film does fall in the bad men doing bad things that many of his films fall into, the inclusion of Lily Gladstone as Mollie Burkhart won me over. By centering on the victim, he made a film that resonated much more with me. Scorsese’s undeniable prowess with directing combined with a sympathetic co-lead make this one of his best films. I only wish that Gladstone appeared on screen more.

41. West Side Story (2021, Dir. Steven Spielberg)

The only reason to remake West Side Story was to correct the racist casting choices made by the 1961 original, and yet despite the superfluousness of the film’s existence, Steven Spielberg delivered a masterpiece that (I’ll say it) surpasses the original. The 2021remake’s best feature is the cinematography. Janusz Kaminski’s camerawork acts as an additional dancer in all of the music numbers as it glides through the scenes in a masterful way. While Ansel Elgort might not be the most charismatic Tony to ever play the part, the cast around him is excellent and imbue the film with so much life that the film stays relevant despite the history of its predecessor.

40. Shirley (2020, Dir. Josephine Decker)

I said the same thing the previous year with respect to her performance in Her Smell (Alex Ross Perry), but Elisabeth Moss is a genuine movie star and really needs to be recognized for more than just her television work. In her most recent film, she plays the acclaimed horror writer, the titular Shirley Jackson who is at an apparent low point in her life. Co-star Odessa Young plays Rose, Shirley’s temporary caretaker and is also outstanding in the film. The two play off each other exploring the power dynamics between the haves and have nots. Even when Shirley is bedridden and Rose should be in complete control, Moss’s acting clearly identifies that this is never the case. No matter how mentally unstable Shirley is, she is always manipulating the situation until she has complete control over Rose’s mind.

39. Girl Picture (2022, Dir. Alli Haapasalo)

I don’t have a great explanation for why this Finnish lesbian romance is so high on my list, but upon leaving the theater after watching it I was all smiles. The film’s focus on female friendship and a young lesbian romance was refreshing in a heteronormative movie landscape. Mimmi‘s (Aamu Milonoff) volatile nature as she gets in fights at school, messes around at work, and falls in and out and back in love make her the standout performance, but all three young leads are remarkable in their honesty.

38. How to Blow Up a Pipeline (2023, Dir. Danile Goldhaber)

We’ve reached the point in our climate dystopia where our films can paint ecoterrorists as both the protagonists of a film and completely in the right. How to Blow Up a Pipeline is an incredibly tense thriller about a band of people whom all for different reasons believe that the destruction of an oil pipeline in Texas will serve their causes. Goldhaber cuts back and forth between the ecoterrorists’ past that motivated them to join this cause with the building of bombs and act of blowing up the pipeline. The film is remarkable in its ability to build tension and speak to a necessary issue in today’s world.

37. The Assistant (2020, Dir. Kitty Green)

The Assistant was the last film that I saw in theaters before the lockdown, and it was also the first great film I saw that year. Kitty Green managed to create an impressively tense drama for those with the patience to watch it. Rocking the impressive 92% to 25% critic to audience score on Rotten tomatoes, The Assistant is a perfect encapsulation of where my tastes differ from the average movie going public. I’m not looking for spectacle (not that there is anything wrong with looking for it in your entertainment); instead, I’m looking for subtle nuances that provoke a more genuine emotional response from me. Actor Julia Garner as Jane portrays the helplessness of a young woman attempting to navigate a workplace predisposed to cover for her boss’s indiscretions. Every moment of the film is poignant in its ability to express awfulness without explicitly showing anything.

36. Parallel Mothers (2021, Dir. Pedro Almodóvar)

The 2021 Almodóvar film leans heavily into his melodramatic roots to deliver a film that could be a season long plotline for soap opera but was also effectively emotional. Almodóvar continues to be a master of his craft as every second of the film has his fingerprints on them. Actresses Penélope Cruz and Milena Smit are wonderful as Janis and Ana two women who become entangled after giving birth on the same day. Their interplay helps to temper the absurdity of the screen play and deliver something emotionally devastating and believable.

35. Anatomy of a Fall (2023, Dir. Justine Triet)

Anatomy of a Fall (2023) - IMDb

The Palme winning Anatomy of a Fall cemented itself this year as one of the greatest courtroom dramas in cinema history. Sandra Hüller is impeccable as a wife who is under suspicion of killing her husband. She skirts the line in her performance such that the audience can never be certain if she is innocent or guilty. Much of that uncertainty is also due to Triet’s remarkable direction. The use of audio recordings of a fight between Hüller’s Sandra and her husband Samuel (Samuel Theis) is a linchpin of the film. It both represents a possible motive for Sandra and questions if normal marital fights can be used to incriminate. Triet delivers a complex picture of marriage and the court system.

34. Vortex (2022, Dir. Gaspar Noé)

If provocateur Gaspar Noé releases a film it will indubitably make my year end list, and Vortex is no different, even though this one has a much more somber tone than his standard fair. The film utilizes a unique dual screen setup to capture the day-to-day goings on of a couple dealing with the women’s onset of Alzheimer’s disease. Notably, Italian auteur Dario Argento plays one of the leads in a stunning declaration that he can act just as well as make excellent films. Like many of Noé’s films Vortex is a brutal watching, this time just for more emotional reasons.

33. A Thousand and One (2023, Dir. A.V. Rockwell)

Sundance Grand Jury: Narrative winner A Thousand and One snuck up on me for how good it was. Similar to 2016’s Moonlight (Dir. Barry Jenkins), A Thousand and One explores the Black experience of a young man through various points in his life. Rockwell’s film, however, uses these time skips to show the evolving relationship between a boy and his mother played wonderfully by Teyana Taylor. Her performance is one of the best of the year it came out, as she manages to capture Inez’s change over the decade while still making each era feel like the same person, just with more years of experience. I’d also like to call out Gary Gunn’s score for the film which was my favorite of that year.

32. Gunda (2021, Dir. Viktor Kosakovskiy)

Ranking films can be difficult when exploring all aspects of cinema, and Gunda is a perfect encapsulation of why. The narrativeless, dialogueless, black and white, experimental documentary is about the life of animals on a Norwegian farm, specifically the pig Gunda. While completely different from every other film on this list (Andrea Arnold’s Cow made a year end list but not this one), the filmmaking is undeniable and it deserves to be recognized. By setting the camera at eye level to the young piglets (mere inches above the ground) the film captures the essence of the animals and brings life into them without unnecessary storytelling and personification.

31. One Fine Morning (2022, Dir. Mia Hansen-Løve)

While I had been familiar with her since her Cannes winning performance in Blue is the Warmest Color, Léa Seydoux cemented herself as one of the best actors working today in this decade, and her work with Mia Hansen-Løve, a favorite director of mine, is her best of the decade thus far. Like most of Hansen-Løve’s films, One Fine Morning is a realistic depiction of women and the intermingling of their love lives with the additional complications in their lives. In this film, Sandra (Seydoux) must balance an ailing father with a fling with an old friend all while being a single mother. Simple yet poignant the film delivers what I love in present day French cinema, and Hansen-Løve is a large part of why that scene is as powerful as it is.

30. Another Round (2020, Dir. Thomas Vinterberg)

Mads Mikkelsen drunkenly dancing at the end of this film is the most fun 3 minutes I had in 2020 movies and succinctly encapsulates the themes of Another Round. Mikkelsen’s Martin and his friends have been playing a dangerous game where they attempted to live life at constant state of inebriation. As one would expect, this has some negative consequences for the group, but it also leads them to some of the highest highs they’ve had in their middle life. Mikkelsen’s jubilant dancing at the end reflects the urge to return to the bottle and chase those highs once more. Vinterberg refuses to deny the enjoyment his characters receive through their self-destructive habit.

29. Nomadland (2020, Dir. Chloé Zhao)

The best picture winner for the year of the pandemic may not have aged as well in that time as I would have thought (it was my number 1 film of the year when I released my year end list in January 2021, but now lags behind a few contemporaries), yet there is no denying that the film still is magnificent. After the success of Nomadland Zhao was gobbled up by the studio system and made one of the most unique (though largely panned) Marvel films, but that just goes to show how distinctive a voice she has behind the camera. Frances McDormand and Nomadland were the perfect vehicle for Zhao’s sensibilities, and the decision to use otherwise non-actors was more than a publicity casting as it highlighted the naturalistic tendencies that Zhao heavily utilizes.

28. Cyrano (2021, Dir. Joe Wright)

The film that grew in my estimation the most so far this decade, was Joe Wright’s musical adaptation of Cyrano de Bergerac. While Peter Dinklage may not be the most acclaim worthy singer to headline a musical in the 2020s, his performance in central to why Cyrano is in my opinion this decade’s best musical. The story is tried and true as it’s been adapted to screen numerous times, but this version captures the magic like few others do. Cyrano’s passion for Roxanne (Haley Bennett) and want for her to be happy makes for a great bit of camaraderie between him and Christian (Kelvin Harrison Jr.), and Joe Wright’s trademark visual flare enhances the classic tale just enough to make the film sing.

27. Return to Seoul (2022, Dir. Davy Chou)

While I may have aged out of my twenties (by more than I care to admit), the depiction of a twentysomething person wandering through life in search of meaning still resonates with my soul, and Return to Seoul was one of the best entrants in that genre. Park Ji-min as the French Korean Freddie perfectly captures that feeling as she explores South Korea, a place where despite being from she has no connection. The distance she exhibits when reconnecting with her biological father and resistance to creating a relationship with him rings true as priorities change from generation to generation, and Freddie’s interests lie more in drinking and enjoying her youth than falling into the confines of familial ties.

26. Women Talking (2022, Dir. Sarah Polley)

While many criticized the film for being too play-like (the camera seldom leaves a single barn), Sarah Polley captured something special in her long-awaited follow-up to the 2012 documentary Stories We Tell. Starring a real who’s who of great female actresses, Women Talking uses a Mennonite community to tell a story of rampant patriarchal abuse in present day without the film feeling preachy. This near present day setting acts as a constant reminder that as far as we’ve come, the trappings still exist all around us. Each of the adult women are given large meaty parts to bring the audience into the lives these women lead, and they all succeed in the most literally titled film on this list.

25. The Zone of Interest (2023, Dir. Jonathan Glazer)

The second of Sandra Hüller’s Oscar worth performances that year, Jonathan Glazer’s follow up to the haunting 2014 Under the Skin is no less shaking. Taking place in an estate sharing a wall with Auschwitz, The Zone of Interest manages to capture the horrors of the Holocaust without showing a single frame of the violence inflicted upon its victims. Instead, everything is conveyed through sound design and the acting of the guilty family. The sound design is particularly remarkable, and it winning the best sound Oscar for its year was the best thing the Academy did all decade. While the sound design may be the most apparent standout of the film, the entire thing is meticulously put together in a way to leave the viewer in devastated silence.

24. The Blue Caftan (2023, Dir. Maryam Touzani)

What at its heart is a love triangle film between a married couple and the worker they hire to work at their apparel shop, The Blue Caftan is an exceptionally warm watch that can’t help but fill the viewer with love. While Youssef (Ayoub Missioui) would be seen as in interloping home wrecker in most films, here he and his relationship with Halim (Saleh Bakri) is understood by Halim’s wife Mina (Lubna Azabal) and the three of them end up in a familial relationship where each clearly cares about the rest. A complex romance, The Blue Caftan was an amazing watch that stuck with me even as a mid-SIFF watch.

23. The Eternal Daughter (2022, Dir. Joanna Hogg)

The third feature in director Joanna Hogg’s Souvenir series adopts a more mysterious tone than its grounded predecessors. It also trades a mother daughter casting choice of Tilda Swinton and Honor Swinton Byrne for dual roles for Tilda as both mother and daughter. While the film is full of Hogg’s trademark slow conversations with meaning carefully hidden behind meticulously chosen dialogue, the aforementioned changes lead to a single static shot that’s the most emotional moments of the year (at least that doesn’t come from the next film).

22. Sing Sing (2024, Dir. Greg Kwedar)

For all the accolades I will sing for the distribution studio A24, Sing Sing was one of the largest failures in their tenure. Not because the movie is bad, obviously as it has made my top 10 of the year, but because they completely botched the distribution of the film. It never even came close to opening wide which likely cost it quite a few Oscar nominations. That said, even a baffeling distribution model shouldn’t be enough to deny Colman Domingo his second consecutive Oscar nomination as the enigmatic prisoner John Divine Whitfield. The film headlined by Domingo imparts the importance of art programs in correctional facilities to the wider public and is an essential film in humanizing the incarcerated population.

21. The Breaking Ice (2024, Dir. Anthony Chen)

One of the least seen films on this list, The Breaking Ice touched me in a way that I was ill-prepared for. Li Haofeng (Haoran Liu) is a twenty something man lost in the world. He is constantly receiving calls from his therapist’s office concerned that he hasn’t shown up to his session and seems unsure of what his life is for. While out of town for the wedding of a college friend, he ends up in the company of a tour guide Nana (Dongyu Zhou) and her friend Han Xiao (Chuxiao Qu). The three of them create an immediate friendship that hovers in the liminal space between platonic and romantic and brought my depressed self a lot of hope in the cold winter.

20. The Worst Person in the World (2021, Dir. Joachim Trier)

The 2022 Oscars marked a paradigm shift for international features with two of the films (The Worst Person in the World and another film which will be arriving later on this list) breaking out of the specific category and making an appearance in multiple categories. Like the aforementioned Return to Seoul, The Worst Person in the World is another entry into the young adult lost in the world genre that I love so much. Renate Reinsve plays Julie as this film’s lost protagonist. What makes this genre special is how new the feeling seems to be as the millennials were the first generation to have it worse than their parents and Trier captures that cosmic confusion in his film.

19. Spencer (2021, Dir. Pablo Larraín)

I have said it many times before, but I will say it again: “Kristen Stewart is the best actress of her generation”. Her portrayal of Princess Diana is poignant, as she captures the agony and unrest that Diana was undergoing while contemplating divorcing Prince Charles. While Larraín’s direction is magnificent, and the costuming and production design enhance the film, Stewart’s performance is the reason to watch Spencer. Much like with Jackie (2016) and Natalie Portman, Larraín does just enough to let his lead actress convey the breadth of emotions during a trying time.

18. Bergman Island (2021, Dir. Mia Hansen-Løve)

In this outing, director Mia Hansen-Løve delivers another superb picture featuring her strength of capturing interpersonal relationships. Like in all her previous pictures, she creates characters with an emotional depth that is front and center to the story. Bergman Island chooses to explore this complexity by utilizing the titular stunt location as well as a movie-within-a-movie trope.  Both feed into her story seamlessly, build upon the wonderful character depth. The film is subtle and warm in its depiction of love and the complexities of relationships and honest in its focus on the creative process.

17. First Cow (2020, Dir. Kelly Reichardt)

First Cow is actually one of my least favorite Kelly Reichardt films, but even a middling Reichardt film is easily one of the best films of the decade. Cookie played wonderfully by John Magaro is one of the most sympathetic characters to ever be brought to screen. He’s just a young man with domestic sensibilities trapped on the frontier. Magaro captures the kindhearted Cookie by portraying him as extremely soft-spoken and caring. Even when he and his friend King-Lu (Orion Lee) start stealing milk to bake cakes for profit, it’s clear that King-Lu is doing so for the freedom the capital will bring the pair while Cookie just loves cooking for his fellow man. He wants nothing more than to be in the service industry. Even if the two men have slightly different goals, Reichardt manages to recapture the spark from one of her first films Old Joy (2006) by delivering a tranquil tale of male friendship devoid of machismo posturing.

16. Nickel Boys (2024, Dir. RaMell Ross)

Shot almost entirely in first person, RaMell Ross’s devastating examination of the criminalization of Black boys, is a masterwork. Chronicling the friendship of two Black boys, Elwood (Ethan Herisse) and Turner (Brandon Wilson), who meet in Nickel Academy, a reform school for criminal youth with a sordid secret Nickel Boys pushes the boundaries of the medium to induce sympathy for its two subjects. By putting oneself directly in the eyes of the dual protagonists, one is able to empathize with the unjust lot in life they received. Early on the film plays loose with narrative structure playing only short clips over long periods in time, but once Elwood enters Nickel and meets Turner, the film takes a somewhat more narratively structured approach and is stronger for it.  

15. Do Not Expect Too Much from the End of the World (2024, Dir. Radu Jude)

At nearly three hours long, this Romanian film will most assuredly not be for everyone, especially as Angela’s (Ilinca Manolache) alter-ego Bobita is tailor made to be a turn off, but the brashness of the film and its lead are essential to the feel of the film. Jude’s film can be seen as a hit piece against capitalistic tendencies and the corporations that have complete control over a working-class person’s ability to survive in the world. Overworked and underpaid, Angela is put face to face with the people whose lives her bosses directly negatively impacted, but in need of her paycheck she escapes into short videos under her assumed male chauvinist identity as a reprieve from the world crumbling around her.

14. Shiva Baby (2021, Dir. Emma Seligman)

The first feature of director Emma Seligman was part of a pattern of great first films by non-male directors this decade. The comedy balances being genuinely funny with being one of the tensest watches of the year. Highlighted by a disconcerting score by Ariel Marx, Shiva Baby captures to suffocating feeling that family functions can have, especially when one has a secret to keep. While the tension can flirt with uncomfortable levels at times, the absurdity of Danielle’s (Rachel Sennott) situation and a reliable joke line from her father adds just the right amount of humor and levity to the stressful circumstances.

13. Licorice Pizza (2021, Dir. Paul Thomas Anderson)

The closest to a perfect film that 2021 had to offer, the newest work by auteur Paul Thomas Anderson is an unconventional love story between two people who really should not be in love. The episodic style of the film serves the romance between Gary (Cooper Hoffman) and Alana (Alana Haim) well. It allows it to develop gradually. In addition to being a sweet story of first love, Licorice Pizza is an extremely funny film. Most of Anderson’s films have a level of humor to them, but it is in the forefront here more than any of his other films.

12. All We Imagine as Light (2024, Dir. Payal Kapadia)

Something needs to be done about the best international film category at the Oscars because countries refuse to put forward their best films (especially India between this and RRR in 2022) leaving them unable to be nominated thus denying them of the recognition that they deserve. All We Imagine as Light is a wonderful picture following three women living on their own in Mumbai. Directed by a woman, Payal Kapadia, the film captures the intimacy between female friendship and its universality even if not more so existent in a country where women’s rights to independence, especially in making their romantic decisions, is less common.

11. The Taste of Things (2023, Dir. Anh Hung Tran)

While talking about the problems of the best international film category at the Oscars, many people point to The Taste of Things as another offender as it likely prevented Anatomy of a Fall from winning the Oscar, and yet I’m here to tell you that France was right to submit The Taste of Things as its submission that year, it is the better film. Part love story and part food porn, Juliette Binoche is once again perfect in this film as an estate cook who works for her lover the chef Dodin Bouffant (Benoît Magimel), yet despite her subservient position and the norms of the era maintains an unprecedented level of independence. Likely the most romantic film I’ve seen this decade, director Anh Hung Tran created something masterful that deserves to be more than a fun fact related to Oscar submissions.

10. Memoria (2021, Dir. Apichatpong Weerasethakul)

The Jury Prize winner at the first Cannes back after the pandemic, Apichatpong Weerasethakul’s Memoria is both another in a long line of similar films by him and the first one to really resonate with me. Maybe it’s the casting of Tilda Swinton who makes yet another appearance on this list, but Memoria captured me more than his other films despite sharing the plodding nature of his other films. The film was originally set to not be released for home viewing as Weerasethakul wanted the film to only be seen on the big screen, and while I do wish I had been able to there I’m just glad I had any chance to see it. The film set a momentous tone for the first slot in the top 10 of the decade thus far.

9. Drive My Car (2021, Dir. Ryûsuke Hamaguchi)

The three hour, Japanese, slow burn narrative may be a hard sell to many, but the film is an example of the lasting impact that cinema can have on a person. After the lengthy prologue (the opening credits appear at the forty-minute mark), the film settles into its pattern for the remainder of the film. Yûsuke Kafuku (Hidetoshi Nishijima) attends practice for the play he is directing and then rides in the car contemplating life while Misaki (Tôko Miura) drives him. This may not seem like much especially considering the length of the film, but the repetitive nature of these moments allows the audience to share in Yûsuke’s reflections and develop a strong bond with each character.

8. Small Axe: Lovers Rock (2020, Dir. Steve McQueen)

Likely the greatest piece of art to come out of 2020 was Steve McQueen’s Small Axe mini-series of features, and while Mangrove was a great courtroom drama, Lovers Rock is the great Steve McQueen film of the set. When I think about McQueen’s body of work, I instinctively think of long scenes. Examples being the 17-minute scene of Bobby Sands (Michael Fassbender) talking to the priest (Rory Mullen) in Hunger (2008) and of Chiwetel Ejiofor tiptoeing to avoid asphyxiation in 12 Years a Slave (2013). Rather than those two though, Lovers Rock long scene instead harkens back to a scene from my personal favorite McQueen film Shame (2012) where Carey Mulligan extends the 3-minute Frank Sinatra Classic to nearly 5. This extended cut of the song is almost painful in it’s beauty, and the same can be said with the Janet Kay’s ‘Silly Games’ scene in Lovers Rock. The 3 ½-minute song is looped and extended to 10 full minutes which is likely not something that would have ever happened in the reggae party depicted. It’s in that fantasy space, however, that the film transports us into the room. We feel the sublime joy of the party goers as they find a momentary escape from the prejudiced world on the other side of the sweltering walls housing the party.

7. All of Us Strangers (2023, Dir. Andrew Haigh)

One of the last films I saw in my 2023 film catch up, All of Us Strangers came awfully close to being my number one. The film is an exploration of a man’s struggles with his queerness due in large part to never being able to tell his parents who he was. Haigh lets Adam (Andrew Scott) process that longing by creating a world where his parents still live in their childhood home having never aged since they passed when he was 12. These scenes are intercut with his burgeoning relationship with Harry (Paul Mescal) which grows as Adam is able to process his identity with his late parents. The film hit me especially hard as a queer person who is struggling with processing her past, but even without that personal connection the film would rank high on this list.

6. Past Lives (2023, Dir. Celine Song)

I managed to catch Celine Song’s directorial debut at the opening night gala for SIFF (The Seattle International Film Festival) and while she could not directly talk about her captivating screenplay – it was the midst of the writer’s strike – one couldn’t help but see the brilliance in her that lead to such a perfect screenplay and perfect movie as she addressed the pack room of viewers stunned in silence. Past Lives is both a romance and not at the same time. It captures the longing that exists when considering the potential loves that we never had, and how even when we are happy in our current lives those memories persist. Greta Lee is revelatory as a woman who is happy in her current life, married to a man she loves, but is taken by the remembrance of a boy she used to know. The movie feels like the inverse of Linklater’s Before films and deserves to be seen with the same reverence.

5. The Brutalist (2024, Dir. Brady Corbet)

Sometimes upon first viewing of a film, I don’t think anything special of it, yet even without a subsequent viewing it lodges itself in my mind and refuses to budge greatly increasing in my opinion throughout the years. This is what happened with director Brady Corbet’s previous film, Vox Lux. That film still haunts me six plus years after its release. The Brutalist I feel will have a likewise long lifespan in my mind, though this one hit with me immediately. This three-and-a-half-hour epic, complete with overture and intermission, explores the impact trauma has on oneself and the processing of said trauma through art. Beautifully shot and scored, The Brutalist feels akin to a dream, with fictional architect László Tóth’s building being impossible to comprehend in its scope and layout.

4. Never Rarely Sometime Always (2020, Dir. Eliza Hittman)4

A trick to making it near the top of one of my year end list is to make me sob uncontrollably, yet not feel exploitative when doing so. Never Rarely Sometimes Always accomplished that multiple times in its runtime. The most obvious instance of this happening is during the scene from which the film takes its name. Autumn (Sidney Flanigan) is sitting in a planned parenthood office to get an abortion. We know that she is pregnant, but we don’t know much in the way of the details about how it happened. When the nurse asks the standard questionnaire for which Autumn is to answer with one of the words in the film’s title, we learn that the circumstances of the teenager’s sex life are more insidious than careless. As the questions become more personal and cut deeper Flanigan’s performance turns tragic. Instead of answering all she can do is cry, all the viewer can do is cry, all I can do simply remembering this scene is cry.

3. Tár (2022, Dir. Todd Field)

I’m an auteurist at heart, I believe most films are a product of their director first and foremost, but TÁR is one of those few exceptions. TÁR is 100% Cate Blanchett’s film. The film focuses on one of our greatest working actors for the entire three-hour duration of the film while she slowly begins to reckon with the decisions she’s made over the course of her career. Blanchett’s perfectly captures the fictional composer who exudes charisma while preparing for a new performance and pursuing affairs.

2. I Saw the TV Glow (2024, Dir. Jane Schoenbrun)

In their newest release, Jane Schoenbrun takes the power of nostalgia and uses it as a jumping off point to make one of the most poignant allegories for the trans experience ever committed to celluloid (yes I double checked, it was shot on film). Owen (played by Ian Foreman while young and Justice Smith after) and Maddy (Brigette Lundy-Paine) are both outsiders who bond over a teenage TV show called the Pink Opaque. Their experiences with the show take on a surreal quality and end up existing as a hazy memory but are essential to their being. While Owen’s journey takes a dark turn due to personal inaction, the film’s enduring image is the message “there is still time” written in sidewalk chalk on the street in suburbia. This sentiment leaves the viewer with the hope that it’s never too late to live one’s truth.

1. Aftersun (2022, Dir. Charlotte Wells)

Number one with a bullet, the directorial debut of Charlotte Wells is a meandering memory captured largely on standard def camcorder. What makes Aftersun so special is the underlying emotionality of the film. What may look like just home movies of a father/daughter trip to a Turkish resort takes on a much deeper meaning because of the implications of the present. It’s likely that this is the last time the two main characters ever saw each other and witnessing their personal mostly, but not completely, hidden feelings feels like prying into things which should never be shared. Calum (Paul Mescal) is doing everything in his power to create a wonderful memory for Sophie (newcomer Frankie Corio), but his personal dramas have a way of seeping out in a way that affects Sophie for years to come. Aftersun is the best cinema had to offer in its year, and is the best film of the decade thus far.

2025 Oscar Nominations Reaction

At 5:30 this morning (seriously Academy why do you do this so early?) the nominations for the 97th Academy Awards were announced, and while I didn’t wake up early enough to watch it live, watching it was still the first thing I did when I eventually woke up. Now as much as I love Oscar season and my annual goal of watching every nominated film, I seldom agree 100% with The Academy, and this year is one of the most I’ve disagreed with them with only two of my top 10 films and 4 of my top 25 getting a best picture nod.

The big winner on the morning was unsurprisingly Emilia Pérez taking home a near record 13 nominations. This also coincidentally is my biggest frustration with the nominations. Emilia Pérez is Green Book for trans people. While it is nice that a trans woman has finally been nominated for an Oscar (Karla Sofía Gascón) the film has been nearly universally panned by trans critics. This very much feels like cis Hollywood patting themselves on the back for nominated a trans story (as told by a cis white French man) when actual trans stories like I Saw the TV Glow and The People’s Joker were likely never even in contention.

One film that was nominated for best picture that I want to call it is actually the only film in that category that I haven’t seen: I’m Still Here. The Brazilian film takes the international slot in best picture that seems to be more and more common in the past few years (technically I guess Emilia Pérez would count as well, but as it’s a Netflix movie it doesn’t feel the same.) I had personally been holding out hope that All We Imagine as Light would sneak into that slot since India failed to submit it for best international feature, but I am still looking forward to seeing I’m Still Here and welcome the diversity even if it wasn’t my first choice.

While it’s showing ended up being expected, I’m still really happy that Coralie Fargeat’s The Substance did so well this morning even if the film didn’t quite make my year end list. The Academy seldom recognizes genre filmmaking and has really been lagging behind in accepting the prestige horror era that we live in. This might actually be the rare case of The Golden Globes having an impact on the Oscars, as The Substance’s case really seemed to take off after Demi Moore won her award there.

One movie that did much better than I expected was A Complete Unknown. While I assumed it would receive a Best Picture nod, I assumed that it would be a beneficiary of the expanded field, but with 8 total nominations including director, adapted screenplay, and two acting categories it seems to be a real threat to win some awards.

Most of the remaining surprises came in the below the line categories. Flow was expected to make animated feature, but I did not anticipate it being a contender in international feature. It’s clearly a two-horse race in animated feature as both Flow and The Wild Robot received nominations in other categories, though my assumption is that The Wild Robot has the lead with its sound nomination.

Part of me was concerned that despite winning every single precursor, The Academy would get cold feet and sub No Other Land for documentary feature. The presumed frontrunner still does not have US distribution as our country shutters as the prospect of humanizing Palestinian people. While the lack of distribution means I have not seen the film, I still feel comfortable say that it winning and allowing the directors the chance to give an acceptance speech at the ceremony is the most important thing The Academy can do this year.

One nomination snub that I just don’t understand is how Trent Reznor and Atticus Ross were left on the outside looking in for best original score for their film Challengers. In fact with Daniel Craig missing out on best actor for Queer, both Guadagnino films were goose egged at this year’s ceremony.

The other major snub that upsets me is Jomo Fray not being recognized for his cinematography for Nickel Boys. How The Academy can recognize the film as one of the 10 best of the year (and props to them as that was not a given) but not acknowledge the most impressive part of the film boggles the mind.

Possibly the most expected nomination for a film no one has ever heard of, Diane Warren Diane Warren picked up her 16th nomination (and 8th consecutive) for her song ‘The Journey’ in The Six Triple Eight.

Marvel continues to be shut out of The Oscars as Deadpool & Wolverine did not receive a nod for Visual Effects, a category which is very CGI monkey heavy between Better Man, Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes, and Wicked.

I personally thought that Gladiator II would be shut out of the ceremony entirely, but the sequel to a previous best picture winner did receive a singular nomination in best costume.

Overall, I think I’m lower on this year’s Oscars because of the three films to receive double digit nominations, I strongly disliked two of them (Emilia Pérez and Wicked). And while I loved the other (The Brutalist) I feel like that film is likely to only win 1 award (best actor for Adrien Brody) while the other two may very well run away with the ceremony.

The Best Films of 2024

While most people have already given up on their 2025 New Years resolutions, I’ve been stuck in 2024 for the last few weeks as I waited for films to expand to more cities so I could finally see them and get this list out. This last year was a relatively light film going experience for me, as the six months I spent in Minnesota, I was largely unable to get to the theaters. That said I still saw over 90 new releases including most of the things on my list (I’m mostly just sad that no distributors were willing to release No Other Land). As always, I’m interested in evaluating how much of my film watching and enjoying comes from female (and this year for the first time a non-binary) directors. This year, 9 of the films in my top 2 were made by non-male directors which is a pretty sizable number given that men still make up the vast majority of directors (though the numbers are slowly but surely getting better). Now, onto the list.

25. Flow (Dir. Gints Zilbalodis)

While 2024 was a relatively great year for animated films, only one film will be making my year end list and then even just in the 25th slot. That said Flow is more than deserving of its place on this list. The Latvian film tells a story of biblical proportions as a great flood devastates the land which humans have already left. In their absence, the film is populated with various species of animals, none of which talk in a language humans can understand. Having characters who don’t speak is always a risk in any film, especially in one devoid of human facial experiences, but Zilbalodis delivers despite this hindrance as the animals which inhabit the world are vibrant, alive, and each have their own personalities. The black cat at the center of the film was so convincing that I found watching the film in the theater to be almost torturous as I missed my own black cat who was less than three miles away at home so much. Stunningly beautiful, Flow is the best animated film of the year, and a great way to kick off my list.

24. Anora (Dir. Sean Baker)

Sean Baker has made a career out of humanizing sex workers, and Anora is another entry into that lineage of film. A transcendental Mikey Madison plays Ani (or the titular Anora) who evolves from sex worker just doing her job to girlfriend for hire and eventually wife of Ivan (Mark Eydelshteyn) the unbelievably rich son of a Russian oligarch. When his parents’ goons come to Ivan and Ani’s home to confront him, Ivan flees leading to a screwball comedy as the goons along with Ani search the city for Ivan. It may be lower on my list than most people’s as the search for Ivan dragged on a little long in my book, there is no denying that Sean Baker is a masterful filmmaker and the way he elevates his protagonists is commendable. The Palme d’Or winning film may be a little messy at times, but there is no denying Madison has immaculate acting chops and is deserving of all of the recognition.

23. The Fire Inside (Dir. Rachel Morrison)

While most people were aware of three of the films that opened on Christmas this year (Babygirl, Nosferatu, and A Complete Unknown all of which missed the list) it is the fourth film that opened on the holiday that I believe was the best. What is at it’s heart a sports film, The Fire Inside spends just as much time after its protagonist wins the gold medal to tell the story of the disrespect female athletes receive especially when they are in sports that are seen as less feminine. With a strong lead performance by the young Ryan Destiny as Claressa Shields and a stand out performance from the Oscar nominated Brian Tyree Henry as her coach Jason, the film takes what should be a rags to riches story but brings it back to reality. Even after proving herself the best in the world, Claressa a Flint Michigan native still has to fight tooth and nail for respect in a world antagonistic against strong Black women, and director Rachel Morrison is able to capture that struggle and agony from a young woman who did everything right but still has to fight to survive.

22. A Real Pain (Dir. Jesse Eisenberg)

In A Real Pain, Eisenberg and Kieran Culkin play cousins who take a Holocaust tour of Poland in the wake of their grandmother’s passing. While previously close, the two have drifted over the years as Eisenberg’s David has settled down with a wife and child while Culkin’s Benji remains as aloof and free spirited as ever. These contrasting personalities inevitably lead to clashes between the two as their emotions are already high given the circumstances of their reunion. Set primarily in David’s viewpoint, Benji can be seen as infuriating, yet Eisenberg paints the film with a deft hand to show how each cousin is mourning in their own way and acting out accordingly. Excellently acted by both, Culkin’s vast oscillations in mood in an understandable and believable way steel the show.

21. We Live in Time (Dir. John Crowley)

Yes, the crazy horse poster movie made my year end list. This is a film that seemed to disappear from the conversation even before it came out, but I think the chemistry between and acting prowess exhibited by Florence Pugh and Andrew Garfield carry this film excellently. While this film is certainly a melodrama, that moniker is often unfairly maligned and when done well can still result in an excellent piece of filmmaking. Pugh in particular is remarkable as Almut, a chef/ restaurateur. Jumping between years the relationship between the two leads is always believable and captivating. Crowley’s decision to tell the story non-linearly is welcome as it allows lighter moments to be intercut with the darker, more melodramatic happenings that result in a film that feels much more even than had it played out chronologically.

20. Bird (Dir. Andrea Arnold)

After the huge success of casting at the time non-actor Sasha Lane in her previous narrative feature American Honey, director Andrea Arnold once again finds gold in casting Nykiya Adams in her first feature film as Bailey, a 13-year-old girl squatting in an apartment building outside of London with her father Bug (Barry Keoghan), his girlfriend and her daughter. Arnold once again captures the teenage angst of her young female protagonist as Bailey wants nothing to do with her father and wants to live as if she’s older than she is. Accompanied by a mysterious young man named Bird (Franz Rogowski) Bailey takes on tasks too adult for her to deal with though she feels pressured to do so. Culminating with a bit of magical realism, Bird captures the fine line between childhood and adulthood and how girls living in less than ideal circumstances are forced to cross that line sooner than they should. Arnold as always has a great deal of respect for her protagonist and captures her experiences without judging like others might.

19. His Three Daughters (Dir. Azazl Jacobs)

Unceremoniously dumped on Netflix, His Three Daughters could have received some significant Oscar pushes had it had the chance to find its audience on the big screen. Carrie Coon, Natasha Lyoone, and Elizabeth Olsen play sisters Katie, Rachel, and Christina reunited in the last days of their father’s life sharing a single roof for the first time since they were kids. Between the already stressful circumstances of their reunion and their conflicting personalities, tensions abound between the three women as one thing compounds upon the next. These tensions escalate throughout the film leading to numerous misunderstandings and fights letting each of the three women stretch their acting muscles in what proves to be an excellent showcase for all three.

18. Gasoline Rainbow (Dir. Turner Ross and Bill Ross)

Following five high school graduates as they take one last road trip to the coast before leaving for college Gasoline Rainbow is a tone poem capturing a moment in one’s life where the future appears endless before you, much like the Pacific Ocean that the teens strive to see. Embarking in an old van that appears to be on its last legs, the film captures the listlessness of small town life and the urge to see what exists beyond the seemingly endless stretch of highways surrounding all the five friends have ever known. Light on plot, the Ross brothers capture what its like to be a certain age in a certain place knowing that life will change forever in a couple of months in ways both wanted and unwanted. An ethereal road trip movie that is timeless.

17. The Last Showgirl (dir. Gia Coppola)

Sometimes a film acts as a reclamation project for a disrespected actor and makes one question what they may have been missing for years or decades, and The Last Showgirl is that project for Pamela Anderson. Directed by Gia Coppola, the film centers Anderson as Shelly a Las Vegas showgirl at a storied show in the last weeks of the show’s life. Anderson’s performance is mesmerizing as the former star of the show coming to terms with her aging and losing direction with the closing of the show that she kept her job at largely as a legacy piece. The film comments on society’s lack of want or respect for women performs once they age out of their traditional beauty standards as well as the sacrifice that women have to endure to provide for their loved ones. Refusing to be just a story of loss, the film also shows the power of female solidarity and its power to unite even despite momentary fights. Ending on an ambiguous reality questioning moment, Anderson’s performance is career defining and deserving of all the accolades.

16. Tuesday (Dir. Daina Oniunas-Pusic)

Of all the Seinfeld alumnus Julia Louis-Dreyfus proves time and time again that she has the most skill and range. Tuesday sees Louis-Dreyfus flexing her dramatic muscles as the mother, Zora, of a sick daughter, Tuesday (Lola Petticrew), who is forced to confront death who arrives at their home in the form of a talking bird (Arinzé Kene). Even before the appearance of death, Zora largely hides from her daughter unable to stomach the inevitability of losing her, and attempts to destroy the manifestation of death when he makes himself known to save her from the pain. Wonderfully layered in storytelling and acted emotion, Tuesday is an underseen gem that plays stronger than one would expect largely because of Louis-Dreyfus’s performance.

15. The Beast (Dir. Bertrand Bonello)

Maybe it’s my person love of French cinema, but in my opinion, Léa Seydoux is one of the most underappreciated actresses working today. The Beast is the most recent film in which she excels. Set in the near future where artificial intelligence is in control, Seydoux’s Gabrielle undergoes a process of cleaning her mind of traumas from past lives so that she can rid herself of emotions and take a higher position in the new world. From this premise, the film takes a light Cloud Atlas approach to filmmaking where Seydoux plays her predicesors at various points in time, with George MacKay playing a man attached to her in one way or another in each moment. While I personally would have welcomed more time periods, and an even longer run time, the film is still a miraculous experiment and earns it’s spot high up on my list.

14. Challengers (Dir. Luca Guadagnino)

Guadagnino released two films this year, and while he seemed to think Queer was the one worth pushing for awards, Challengers was in my mind the undeniable better film. Boasting a year’s best score by the duo Trent Reznor and Atticus Ross, every moment of the film is propulsed forward by a litany of great cinematic decisions. Between the unique “ball cam” camera movements, oozing sexual tension between all three leads, time jumping, and the afore mentioned booming score, every second of Challengers is a welcome affront to the senses. The love triangle between Art, Patrick, and Tashi (Mike Faist, Josh O’Connor, and Zendaya) is a delight to view, and the constant phallic imagery (special shout out to the churro) prove that every leg of the triangle has just as much sexual passion as the other.

13. Conclave (Dir. Edward Berger)

2022’s surprise Oscar breakout All Quite on the Western Front introduced the world to German director Edward Berger, but while his skill was undeniable, few would have guessed that he would make a relatively high grossing English language film for his next outing. Conclave tapped into the underserved adult audience at the box office as the mystery/ drama surrounding the election of a new Pope under the supervision of Cardinal Lawrence (Ralph Fiennes) was a true crowd pleaser. With a stacked supporting cast including Stanley Tucci, John Lithgow, and Oscar hopeful Isabella Rossellini all putting in great performances, it’s the deft direction by Berger that highlight the film and prove he is more than a one hit wonder.

12. Red Rooms (Dir. Pascal Plante)

Taking place during the trial of fictional serial murderer Ludovic Chevalier, Kelly-Anne (Juliette Gariépy) has an odd obsession with the case. Presumed to be fan girl of the charged, Kelly-Anne’s true motivations remain mysterious throughout the runtime of the psychological thriller. Appearing at times sociopathic, Kelly-Anne’s obsession takes her well passed the line of acceptability and legality in a way that keeps one guessing throughout. The film wouldn’t have succeeded without Gariépy’s miraculous portrayal of the cold Kelly-Anne. Like all good thrillers, Red Rooms kept me glued to my seat watching what would happen next with apprehension and anticipation.

11. Love Lies Bleeding (Dir. Rose Glass)

Maybe putting the Kristen Stewart lesbian film on my list is a little cliché, but the heart wants what the heart wants. All jokes aside, Glass follows up her moody horror film Saint Maud with a bombastic, ‘roided out fever dream of love story. Jackie (Katy O’Brian) enters Stewart’s Lou’s life as a hurricane, breaking her out of her uneventful life living in the shadow of her father (an unhinged Ed Harris). The pair fall for each other fast and have undeniable chemistry as the film indulges in the sexiness of their relationship. Mix in some murder complete with unsettling gore, and the film is a singular experience in 2024 film.

10. Evil Does Not Exist (Dir. Ryûsuke Hamaguchi)

A few years removed from his Oscar surprise Drive My Car, Hamaguchi returns with another quite contemplative Japanese feature. Takumi (Hitoshi Omika) lives in a remote wooded village with his young daughter Hana(Ryô Nishikawa) doing odd jobs for the other village residents. When a corporation plans on building a glamping facility in the area, the village becomes concerned with the pollution it will bring to their water supply. Despite this threatening presence, Hamaguchi still takes his time and uses silence to force the audience to identify with the serenity of the village and question the upheaval that the proposed building would have on the community.

9. The People’s Joker (Dir. Vera Drew)

For the first time in the over a decade since I’ve been putting out these lists, a comic book movie has made the list… sort of. For those who don’t know, The People’s Joker is Vera Drew’s parody of the DC villain. It debuted at the Toronto International Film Festival in 2022, but it was quickly shut down with a cease and desist from the comic corporation. Two years later the film finally received a release as it was deemed protected by parody law. The first of two trans allegories on my list Drew plays Joke the Harlequin, a trans comedian working in an underground anti-comedy club in Gotham. The film touches on identity and finding oneself all through the guise of famous comic characters. If like me, you’re not a fan of the stranglehold the comic industry has had on the media landscape the past decade and a half, don’t let this one pass you by assuming it’s more of the same.

8. How to Have Sex (Dir. Molly Manning Walker)

Taking place during the British summer holiday, How to Have Sex centers around three female friends as they take place in teenage debauchery and attempt to get laid. Tara (Mia McKenna-Bruce) is especially anxious to have sex, as she never has before. Director Molly Manning Walker plays on the presumed importance of losing one’s virginity and explores how sex as a symbol can be damaging when not emotionally prepared for it. McKenna-Bruce embraces her character’s mental state after losing her virginity in a way much different than she expected. Her dissociated wandering after the incident and eventual breakdown to her friend were some of the best acting moments of the year.

7. Sing Sing (Dir. Greg Kwedar)

For all the accolades I will sing for the distribution studio A24, Sing Sing was one of the largest failures in their tenure. Not because the movie is bad, obviously as it has made my top 10 of the year, but because they completely botched the distribution of the film. It never even came close to opening wide which likely cost it quite a few Oscar nominations. That said, even a baffeling distribution model shouldn’t be enough to deny Colman Domingo his second consecutive Oscar nomination as the enigmatic prisoner John Divine Whitfield. The film headlined by Domingo imparts the importance of art programs in correctional facilities to the wider public and is an essential film in humanizing the incarcerated population.

6. The Breaking Ice (Dir. Anthony Chen)

One of the least seen films on this list, The Breaking Ice touched me in a way that I was ill-prepared for. Li Haofeng (Haoran Liu) is a twenty something man lost in the world. He is constantly receiving calls from his therapist’s office concerned that he hasn’t shown up to his session and seems unsure of what his life is for. While out of town for the wedding of a college friend, he ends up in the company of a tour guide Nana (Dongyu Zhou) and her friend Han Xiao (Chuxiao Qu). The three of them create an immediate friendship that hovers in the liminal space between platonic and romantic and brought my depressed self a lot of hope in the cold winter.

5. Nickel Boys (Dir. RaMell Ross)

Shot almost entirely in first person, RaMell Ross’s devastating examination of the criminalization of Black boys, is a masterwork. Chronicling the friendship of two Black boys, Elwood (Ethan Herisse) and Turner (Brandon Wilson), who meet in Nickel Academy, a reform school for criminal youth with a sordid secret Nickel Boys pushes the boundaries of the medium to induce sympathy for its two subjects. By putting oneself directly in the eyes of the dual protagonists, one is able to empathize with the unjust lot in life they received. Early on the film plays loose with narrative structure playing only short clips over long periods in time, but once Elwood enters Nickel and meets Turner, the film takes a somewhat more narratively structured approach and is stronger for it.  

4. Do Not Expect Too Much from the End of The World (Dir. Radu Jude)

At nearly three hours long, this Romanian film will most assuredly not be for everyone, especially as Angela’s (Ilinca Manolache) alter-ego Bobita is tailor made to be a turn off, but the brashness of the film and its lead are essential to the feel of the film. Jude’s film can be seen as a hit piece against capitalistic tendencies and the corporations that have complete control over a working-class person’s ability to survive in the world. Overworked and underpaid, Angela is put face to face with the people whose lives her bosses directly negatively impacted, but in need of her paycheck she escapes into short videos under her assumed male chauvinist identity as a reprieve from the world crumbling around her.

3. All We Imagine as Light (Dir. Payal Kapadia)

Something needs to be done about the best international film category at the Oscars because countries refuse to put forward their best films (especially India between this and RRR in 2022) leaving them unable to be nominated thus denying them of the recognition that they deserve. All We Imagine as Light is a wonderful picture following three women living on their own in Mumbai. Directed by a woman, Payal Kapadia, the film captures the intimacy between female friendship and its universality even if not more so existent in a country where women’s rights to independence, especially in making their romantic decisions, is less common.

2. The Brutalist (Dir. Brady Corbet)

Sometimes upon first viewing of a film, I don’t think anything special of it, yet even without a subsequent viewing it lodges itself in my mind and refuses to budge greatly increasing in my opinion throughout the years. This is what happened with director Brady Corbet’s previous film, Vox Lux. That film still haunts me six plus years after its release. The Brutalist I feel will have a likewise long lifespan in my mind, though this one hit with me immediately. This three-and-a-half-hour epic, complete with overture and intermission, explores the impact trauma has on oneself and the processing of said trauma through art. Beautifully shot and scored, The Brutalist feels akin to a dream, with fictional architect László Tóth’s building being impossible to comprehend in its scope and layout.

1. I Saw the TV Glow (Dir. Jane Schoenbrun)

In their newest release, Jane Schoenbrun takes the power of nostalgia and uses it as a jumping off point to make one of the most poignant allegories for the trans experience ever committed to celluloid (yes I double checked, it was shot on film). Owen (played by Ian Foreman while young and Justice Smith after) and Maddy (Brigette Lundy-Paine) are both outsiders who bond over a teenage TV show called the Pink Opaque. Their experiences with the show take on a surreal quality and end up existing as a hazy memory but are essential to their being. While Owen’s journey takes a dark turn due to personal inaction, the film’s enduring image is the message “there is still time” written in sidewalk chalk on the street in suburbia. This sentiment leaves the viewer with the hope that it’s never too late to live one’s truth.

Oscar Predictions and Picks 2024

I love the Oscars. For the past seven years, I have made it my goal to watch every single film nominated for an Oscar, and while it took me until today to do so, I’ve once again made that goal. This year has a much more contentious group of categories to go over, even if the above the line ones are pretty obvious. Now, in time for Sunday’s ceremony, here are my predictions and my personal picks for this year’s event.

Short Film, Live Action

My Prediction: The Wonderful Story of Henry Sugar
My Pick: Red, White and Blue

Wes Anderson should finally get his first Oscar for this year’s Roald Dahl film, but I personally feel as if it is a bit against the spirit of the reward. The short could have easily been extended 2 more minutes into feature territory and the high level of stars and finances would have served it just as well. Red, White and Blue on the other hand does exactly what I want a short film to do. Tell a convincing story on a budget.

Short Film, Animated

My Prediction: WAR IS OVER! Inspired by the Music of John and Yoko
My Pick: Ninety-Five Senses

The Oscars is notorious for giving at least one of the short film categories out to the worst film nominated, and I believed this is the category it will happen in this year. War is Over is trite and painfully optimistic and is likely to win.

Short Film, Documentary

My Prediction: The Last Repair Shop
My Pick: The Last Repair Shop

If the academy members watched the films, it is a pretty easy pick for The Last Repair shop which was excellent and by far the best of the bunch, but The ABCs of Book Burning has a cute title about a pertinent topic so I could see that playing spoiler.

Visual Effects

My Prediction: Godzilla Minus One
My Pick: Avatar: Godzilla Minus One

Really close with The Creator, I think Godzilla Minus One was a much more liked film between the two and believe that will raise it to Oscar Gold. The viral click on Oscar nomination morning doesn’t hurt either.

Makeup and Hairstyling

My Prediction: Maestro
My Pick: Maestro

I did not like Maestro, and I don’t believe much of the academy did either. That said it is hard to deny the old age makeup on both Bradley Cooper and Carey Mulligan were immaculate, and I’ll even forgive the schnozz on Cooper, at least for the night.

Costume

My Prediction: Barbie
My Pick: Barbie

And here starts the biggest paired contention of the night. Between Costume and Production Design Barbie and Poor Things are having a knockdown fight. For costume, I think the iconic Barbie costumes will tip this category in its direction.

Production Design

My Prediction: Poor Things
My Pick: Poor Things

Conversely to costumes I think the perfectly pink Barbie land both deserves to and will just miss out to the surrealist steampunk locations and vehicles that fill the Poor Things screen at every moment.

Sound

My Prediction: Oppenheimer
My Pick: The Zone of Interest

This is the one that kills me. Yes the Bomb explosion scene was a wonderous piece of sound production, and in any normal year I’d gladly accept it winning, but the sound in The Zone of Interest is what makes the film, and is the best sound design I’ve seen in years if not decades.

Original Song

My Prediction: What Was I Made For (Barbie)
My Pick: What Was I Made For (Barbie)

Yes ‘I’m Just Ken’ is fun, but this might be Billie Eilish’s best song and she will become a two time Oscar winner.

Original Score

My Prediction: Oppenheimer
My Pick: Oppenheimer

Joe Hisaishi was robbed of a nomination for The Boy in the Heron which I would have picked if it were an option, but Ludwig Göransson score was well worthy of Oscar gold as well.

Editing

My Prediction: Oppenheimer
My Pick: Anatomy of a Fall

Editing is often seen as a precursor for best picture and as such this is Oppenheimer’s to lose. That said, I think the editing in Anatomy of a Fall was top notch and it is what I’d have voted for.

Cinematography

My Prediction: Oppenheimer
My Pick: Oppenheimer

Another Oscar for the team around Oppenheimer. Expect to see this title a lot going forward.

Documentary Feature

My Prediction: 20 Days in Mariupol
My Pick: 20 Days in Mariupol

Much like Navalny last year, 20 Days in Mariupol fits the cultural zeitgeist of the day, and it’s an excellently made documentary too.

Animated Feature

My Prediction: Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse
My Pick: The Boy and the Heron

I think if Miyazaki had made a more approachable film, this category would have been his, but The Boy and the Heron was a little too weird to land with the average film goer, and so the also well deserving Spider-Man fill will win its second award in two tries.

International Film

My Prediction: The Zone of Interest
My Pick: The Zone of Interest

With France nominating The Taste of Things over Anatomy of a Fall, this is a pretty easy win for The Zone of Interest. For what it’s worth, I would vote Zone over Anatomy, but The Taste of Things while not nominated is my favorite of the three.

Adapted Screenplay

My Prediction: American Fiction
My Pick: Barbie

I did not enjoy American Fiction and personally believe its screenplay to be pretty confused, but it appears to be the runaway favorite. I think Barbie should have been in original screenplay, but regardless I think it deserves the win here.

Original Screenplay

My Prediction: Anatomy of a Fall
My Pick: Past Lives

With Barbie languishing in the harder category this year, Anatomy of a Fall should have the support to win this over The Holdovers, but I’d personally give it to my favorite film of 2023, Past Lives.

Supporting Actor

My Prediction: Robert Downey Jr. (Oppenheimer)
My Pick: Robert Di Nero (Killers of the Flower Moon)

Looks to be a pretty easy win for Robert Downey Jr., but I think the Di Nero performance in Killers of the Flower Moon is getting unfairly overlooked.

Supporting Actress

My Prediction: Da’Vine Joy Randolph (The Holdovers)
My Pick: Da’Vine Joy Randolph (The Holdovers)

The easiest prediction of the night is that Da’Vine Joy Randolph will walk away with an Oscar. Her performance in The Holdovers is what made that movie (with all respect to Paul Giamatti) and I’m excited to hear her speech as she accepts her Oscar.

Lead Actor

My Prediction: Cillian Murphy (Oppenheimer)
My Pick: Cillian Murphy (Oppenheimer)

While there is a chance that Paul Giamatti plays upset and stops the Oppenheimer sweep, it is Cillian Murphy’s time to win. He was miraculous as the cold titular character and is most likely to walk up to the stage Sunday night.

Lead Actress

My Prediction: Lily Gladstone (Killers of the Flower Moon)
My Pick: Lily Gladstone (Killers of the Flower Moon)

The hardest of the above the line categories to predict, I’m going with my favorite (nominated) performance of the year, Lily Gladstone, the nod over Emma Stone, but could see it going either way. There’s even the off chance that Sandra Hüller could play upset. Any of the three would be more than worthy, but I hope and think Gladstone will come out ahead.

Director

My Prediction: Christopher Nolan (Oppenheimer)
My Pick: Jonathan Glazer (The Zone of Interest)

Oppenheimer is an unstoppable force and will easily get Christopher Nolan his first Oscar, and while I didn’t love Oppenheimer as much as most I do get that it’s an impressive feat of direction. My personal pick though would be Glazer for The Zone of Interest which was all direction (and sound).

Picture

My Prediction: Oppenheimer
My Pick: Past Lives

Much like Everything Everywhere All At Once last year, Oppenheimer is likely to cap off a night of winning with taking home the big prize. I still think the last act of the film is superfluous, but where the film is great it’s really great. If it were up to me though, the emotional impact of Past Lives in its simplicity is the best film of the year and deserves to win this award even though it doesn’t have a chance.

The Best Films of 2023

I’m so late this year, I’m sorry. But It’s finally list time again! I love films and I love sharing my love of films with others. As I’ve done for the past decade plus, I’ve put together a list of what I consider to be the best films of the year that just ended. I put this off as long as I did so that I could see The Zone of Interest, but honestly I had a lot to catch up on after mental health issues kept me from seeing most of the year end films. Of the films on this list, 10 of them were directed by women, which is quite a high percentage considering what the wide release percentage of women directors tends to be. As far as regrets go, there were two Argentinian films I wanted to watch before putting together this list, The Delinquents and Trenque Laquen, but at 3 and 4 ½ hours a piece, they just weren’t in the cards this year. Additionally not being in one of the major markets, Seattle is only so big, I was unable to see The Taste of Things and Perfect Days. Both open here in mid-February, but I didn’t want to be that delayed in putting out my list any further. Now without further ado, the list.

25. Fallen Leaves (Dir. Aki Kaurismäki)

Finnish director Aki Kaurismäki is the master of the dry, social commentary comedy, and his most recent film Fallen Leaves fits into that category and excels while doing so. A love story between two miserable, working-class people, Fallen Leaves captures the desperation for connection that can plague the underserved. Ansa (Alma Pöysti) may not especially like Holappa (Jussi Vatanen), but that does not stop her from falling in love in service of no longer being alone. Patently ridiculous and lovingly poignant, Kaurismäki delivers a great film about living the best life one can.

24. All Dirt Roads Taste of Salt (Dir. Raven Jackson)

It did not take long for the pretentious side of my list to show its face. All Dirt Roads Taste of Salt is definitely not for everyone, but for those willing to put up with a meandering, vibes over narrative approach to filmmaking, Raven Jackson’s film will be a blessing. The story of a Black, Mississippi woman that spans decades speaks to moments that make a life. Methodical in its pacing, All Dirt Roads Taste of Salt feels almost Malickian and I say that in the best way possible.

23. The Holdovers (Dir. Alexander Payne)

Alexander Payne and Paul Giamatti reunite 19 years after Sideways to create the most quintessentially winter film of the year. While Giamatti may bring the star power to the film this place on the list is essentially a Da’Vine Joy Randolph recognition. She plays Mary, a cafeteria worker who is staying over at the school for the holidays as a way of grieving her son’s passing. Her performance is devastating as she slowly breaks down as the holiday break continues, and she will almost certainly walk away with an Oscar this year as the lone winner for the film.

22. Blue Jean (Dir. Georgia Oakley)

While it is true that many lesbian films end up being period pieces, most of them take place well before the Thatcher era where Blue Jean does. Rosy McEwen plays Jean a physical education teacher who needs to hide her homosexuality from her place of employment less risk being fired because of the archaic Tory laws. McEwen is the highlight of the film as she captures the strife of a women unsure with how to proceed as herself. A solid screenplay also heightens McEwen’s performance in this underseen gem.

21. Barbie (Dir. Greta Gerwig)

While many people were skeptical of a movie based on Barbie, I had faith in Gerwig’s direction to deliver something special, and I feel confident that I won that bet. Some may scoff at the feminism 101 speachs that inhabit the film but remembering that this film is a PG-13 film that many teens will watch should absolve that critique. Outside of the philosophical arguments about the film, Barbie is just outright fun. Margot Robbie and Ryan Gosling are both exceptional, and the return of the dream ballet in “I’m Just Ken” was the most entertaining moment in film this year.

20. R.M.N. (Dir. Christian Mungiu)

Christian Mungiu, acclaimed director of 2007’s 4 Months, 3 Weeks and 2 Days, returns to the big screen with the slowest of burns R.M.N. The film explores human nature when confronted with the unknown. Matthias (Marin Grigore) is the unlikable protagonist at the center of the film. He has extramarital affairs, is less than understanding of his scared son, and takes a passive approach to the racism that has infected his town. Yet through these unlikable eyes, the story has a strong sense of right and wrong and stands with those who need it most. Undeniably a slow watch, but the payoff is well worth the commitment.

19. 20,000 Species of Bees (Dir. Estibaliz Urresola Solaguren)

Possibly the least traditional entry onto my list, 20,000 Species of Bees was a SIFF discovery for me, and one for which I was clearly the target audience. The film is about Lucía (Sofía Otero) an eight-year-old who is just coming to terms with her gender identity and her mother Ane (Patricia López Arnaiz) learning to accept her daughter for who she is. As a trans woman, I found the story to ring exceptionally true. Lucía’s inner conflict with whom she was reminded me of my own, and Ane’s reluctance followed by eventual acceptance felt like what I wished would have happened for me. Extremely emotional and expertly acted, 20,000 Species of Bees is a film to look out for if it ever receives distribution.

18. Monster (Dir. Hirokazu Kore-eda)

A modern day Rashomon (Dir. Akira Kurosawa, 1950), Monster is acclaimed Japanese director Hirokazu Kore-eda’s tale on perspective. When her son Minato (Soya Kurokawa) starts acting strangely, his mother Saori (Sakura Ando) is understandably concerned. Starting with her perspective, Kore-eda slowly unravels the mystery behind Minato’s strange behavior. And while the principle view point may shift at various times throughout the film, it is Ando’s performance as the mother desperate to find out what is wrong with her son that shines through.

17. Poor Things (dir. Yorgos Lanthimos)

I never would have guessed that the man who directed Dogtooth (2009) would become one of the most well known and acclaimed directors working 15 years later, but Lanthimos has managed to tap into the weirder aspect of the cultural mind. Poor Things is another film that should not have mass appeal, but we are better off because it does. Emma Stone is excellent as Bella Baxter, the Frankenstein’s Monster stand in of the mad genius Dr. Godwin Baxter (Willem Dafoe). Stone plays Bella as an infant minded creation all the way to a wise beyond her years independent woman and is convincing at all stages of that development. A wickedly devious performance for a wickedly devious film.

16. Are You There God? It’s Me, Margaret. (Dir. Kelly Fremon Craig)

I am a sucker for a good coming of age film, and that is exactly what Kelly Fremon Craig delivered with Are You There God? It’s Me, Margaret. The adolescent girl’s coming of age film seems to be Craig’s forte as this film follows up her 2016 debut The Edge of Seventeen. While Abby Ryder Fortson is great as the titular Margaret, it is Rachel McAdams, playing Margaret’s mother Barbara, who steals the show. Craig rightfully expands Barbara’s role from what it was in the book, and McAdams delivers wonderfully on the expanded material.

15. Showing Up (Dir. Kelly Reichardt)

As far as current actor director pairs go, it is hard to pick a pair much better than Michelle Williams and Kelly Reichardt. Williams is able to thrive under Reichardt’s deliberate pacing and muted direction to portray characters still filled with the depth normally ascribed to showier performances. Showing Up is a look at the less glamorous side of being an artist. Working hard for little acknowledgement and fighting hard for every bit of exposure. The film may well be too slow for most viewers, but for those willing to sit with a movie and take it at its own pace, it is an excellent watch.

14. The Iron Claw (Dir. Sean Durkin)

I have never watched a single wrestling match in my life, but one does not need to in order to find the latest Sean Durkin film The Iron Claw fascinating. The tragic story of the Von Erich brothers lends itself perfectly to the silver screen. Durkin is masterful at slowly teasing the dark side of things out from his subjects and he does just that from this film. He lets the unease slowly build before exposing the devastating truth of the Von Erich curse. As the eldest (living) brother Kevin, Zac Efron proves that he is more than just a pretty face, but an excellent actor as well. His performance is what allows the audience to maintain hope despite all of the tragedies the film portrays.

13. May December (Dir. Todd Haynes)

Director Todd Haynes reunites with Julianne Moore and works with Natalie Portman and Charles Melton for the first time to deliver a story based largely on the Mary Kay Letourneau scandal from the late 90s. In this film Moore plays the Letourneau stand in Gracie seemingly happily married to her victim Joe (Melton) 20 years after the abuse. Portman’s Elizabeth throws a wrench into their lives when she comes to observe Gracie in service of performing as her in an upcoming film. Haynes’s film is filled with melodrama and camp in a way that heightens the absurdity of the situation (even if based on real life). All three actors put in exquisite performances in a film that leaves them all questioning the relationship at the center of their connection.

12. Afire (Dir. Christian Petzold)

German auteur Christian Petzold’s most recent film Afire is a haunting look at someone so blinded by a self-imposed sense of obligation that he misses out on the small wonders of life in front of him. Leon (Thomas Schubert) is an asshole, even if deep down he does not want to be. On a trip with his friend Felix (Langston Uibel), they meet Nadja (Paula Beer) who attempts to befriend Leon even if Leon’s instincts keep ruining things. All this happens under the threat of impending wildfires which threaten to ruin the three’s holiday. Poignant and contemplative, Afire is another excellently realized film for Petzold.

11. Beau is Afraid (Dir. Ari Aster)

Ari Aster follows up is two highly acclaimed horror films (2018’s Hereditary and 2019’s Midsommar) with something completely different in Beau is Afraid. While the most recent film could maybe be classified as a horror film, that would be more in the horrific root word than what the genre has come to mean. Joaquin Phoenix gives a terrifying performance of Beau, a man plagued with anxiety. Phoenix’s performance and Aster’s direction combine to create a perpetual feeling of unease as reality is blurred under Beau’s anxious delusions.

10. Infinity Pool (Dir. Brandon Cronenberg)

The best horror film of the year continues to prove that Brandon Cronenberg is more than just a nepo baby, he is an excellent film maker with his own style. Infinity Pool lingered with me, the creepy imagery, the complex themes, and especially the supporting performance from Mia Goth. The film is dark and twisted in a way that lingers in the mind for weeks after viewing. Alexander Skarsgård is excellent as the slimy failed author James, and as mentioned, Mia Goth as Gabi is impeccably deranged.

9. Asteroid City (Dir. Wes Anderson)

If you think Wes Anderson’s style is a little bit too much, then this is not the film for you. However, if you want to see Wes Anderson dive into his style headfirst and make the most Wes Anderson film ever, then you need to see Asteroid City. Consisting of multiple layers of storytelling, the film is a complex narrative that I’m still grappling with after only one watch. The innermost layer of the film, the one in color, is filled to the brim with interesting acting decisions and Anderson’s trademark production design. Yet it is the combination with the outer layers that elevate Asteroid City into one of Anderson’s best.

8. Killers of the Flower Moon (Dir. Martin Scorsese)

It is sacrilege to say this as a cinephile, but Scorsese has never really been my cup of tea. I respect him as a film maker, and I’ve never disliked his movies, they just have not resonated with me the way they do for most. That said Killers of the Flower Moon spoke to me in a way that most of his more recent films have not. While much of the film does fall in the bad men doing bad things that many of his films fall into, the inclusion of Lily Gladstone as Mollie Burkhart won me over. By centering on the victim, he made a film that resonated much more with me. Scorsese’s undeniable prowess with directing combined with a sympathetic co-lead make this one of his best films. I only wish that Gladstone appeared on screen more.

7. How to Blow Up a Pipeline (Dir. Daniel Goldhaber)

We’ve reached the point in our climate dystopia where our films can paint ecoterrorists as both the protagonists of a film and completely in the right. How to Blow Up a Pipeline is an incredibly tense thriller about a band of people whom all for different reasons believe that the destruction of an oil pipeline in Texas will serve their causes. Goldhaber cuts back and forth between the ecoterrorists’ past that motivated them to join this cause with the building of bombs and act of blowing up the pipeline. The film is remarkable in its ability to build tension and speak to a necessary issue in today’s world.

6. Anatomy of a Fall (Dir. Justine Triet)

The Palme winning Anatomy of a Fall cemented itself this year as one of the greatest courtroom dramas in cinema history. Sandra Hüller is impeccable as a wife who is under suspicion of killing her husband. She skirts the line in her performance such that the audience can never be certain if she is innocent or guilty. Much of that uncertainty is also due to Triet’s remarkable direction. The use of audio recordings of a fight between Hüller’s Sandra and her husband Samuel (Samuel Theis) is a linchpin of the film. It both represents a possible motive for Sandra and questions if normal marital fights can be used to incriminate. Triet delivers a complex picture of marriage and the court system.

5. A Thousand and One (Dir. A.V. Rockwell)

Sundance Grand Jury: Narrative winner A Thousand and One snuck up on me for how good it was. Similar to 2016’s Moonlight (Dir. Barry Jenkins), A Thousand and One explores the Black experience of a young man through various points in his life. Rockwell’s film, however, uses these time skips to show the evolving relationship between a boy and his mother played wonderfully by Teyana Taylor. Her performance is one of the best of the year, as she manages to capture Inez’s change over the decade while still making each era feel like the same person, just with more years of experience. I’d also like to call out Gary Gunn’s score for the film which was my favorite of the year.

4. The Zone of Interest (Dir. Jonathan Glazer)

The second of Sandra Hüller’s Oscar worth performances this year, Jonathan Glazer’s follow up to the haunting 2014 Under the Skin is no less shaking. Taking place in an estate sharing a wall with Auschwitz, The Zone of Interest manages to capture the horrors of the Holocaust without showing a single frame of the violence inflicted upon its victims. Instead, everything is conveyed through sound design and the acting of the guilty family. The sound design is in particularly remarkable, and while I don’t think it is the frontrunner, I will be very upset if it’s snubbed on Oscar nomination morning. While the sound design may be the most apparent standout of the film, the entire thing is meticulously put together in a way to leave the viewer in devastated silence.

3. The Blue Caftan (Dir. Maryam Touzani)

What at its heart is a love triangle film between a married couple and the worker they hire to work at their apparel shop, The Blue Caftan is an exceptionally warm watch that can’t help but fill the viewer with love. While Youssef (Ayoub Missioui) would be seen as in interloping home wrecker in most films, here he and his relationship with Halim (Saleh Bakri) is understood by Halim’s wife Mina (Lubna Azabal) and the three of them end up in a familial relationship where each clearly cares about the rest. A complex romance, The Blue Caftan was an amazing watch that stuck with me even as a mid-SIFF watch.

2. All of Us Strangers (Dir. Andrew Haigh)

One of the last films I saw in my 2023 film catch up, All of Us Strangers came awfully close to being my number one. The film is an exploration of a man’s struggles with his queerness due in large part to never being able to tell his parents who he was. Haigh lets Adam (Andrew Scott) process that longing by creating a world where his parents still live in their childhood home having never aged since they passed when he was 12. These scenes are intercut with his burgeoning relationship with Harry (Paul Mescal) which grows as Adam is able to process his identity with his late parents. The film hit me especially hard as a queer person who is struggling with processing her past, but even without that personal connection the film would rank high on this list.

1. Past Lives (Dir. Celine Song)

I managed to catch Celine Song’s directorial debut at the opening night gala for SIFF (The Seattle International Film Festival) and while she could not directly talk about her captivating screenplay – it was the midst of the writer’s strike – one couldn’t help but see the brilliance in her that lead to such a perfect screenplay and perfect movie as she addressed the pack room of viewers stunned in silence. Past Lives is both a romance and not at the same time. It captures the longing that exists when considering the potential loves that we never had, and how even when we are happy in our current lives those memories persist. Greta Lee is revelatory as a woman who is happy in her current life, married to a man she loves, but is taken by the remembrance of a boy she used to know. The movie feels like the inverse of Linklater’s Before films and deserves to be seen with the same reverence.

Oscar Predictions and Picks 2023

I love the Oscars. For the past six years, I have made it my goal to watch every single film nominated for an Oscar, and while it took me until today to do so, I’ve once again made that goal. This year I’m not posting my non-nominated picks, but just assume I’d have Aftersun listed for all eligible categories. Now, in time for Sunday’s ceremony, here are my predictions and my personal picks for this year’s event.

Short Film, Live Action

My Prediction: Le Pupille
My Pick: The Red Suitcase

It’s hard to predict against a film that has major representation in this category, and Le Pupille’s Disney backing as well as Alice Rohrwacher behind the helm should see it an easy win. If I had a vote though, I’d be going for The Red Suitcase, one of the best tension building exercises of the year.

Short Film, Animated

My Prediction: The Boy, The Mole, The Fox, and The Horse
My Pick: My Year of Dicks

Similar to the Live action category, it’s hard to predict against Idris Elba’s voice acting in The Boy, The Mole, The Fox, and The Horse even though I found it overly saccharine, but My Year of Dicks was a really fun watch and gets my nod.

Short Film, Documentary

My Prediction: Stranger at the Gate
My Pick: Haulout

Much like the other short categories, I’m assuming the award goes to the film with the biggest name (Stranger at the Gate is executive produced by Malala). My personal favorite however is Haulout, an interesting take on the climate documentary.

Visual Effects

My Prediction: Avatar: The Way of Water
My Pick: Avatar: The Way of Water

I genuinely can’t imagine leaving the theater after seeing Avatar: The Way of Water and not asserting that it has the best visual effects of the year.

Costume

My Prediction: Elvis
My Pick: Babylon

While I loved the classic Hollywood cosutmes from the Babylon, betting against Catherine Martin (Elvis) is never a good bet.

Makeup and Hairstyling

My Prediction: Elvis
My Pick: Elvis

The best actor race plays out in makeup and hairstyling as well as both actors find themselves covered in prosthetics during their respective movies. I’m leaning towards an Elvis win as that’s the more beloved film, and the aging of Austin Butler will likely garnish more votes.

Production Design

My Prediction: Babylon
My Pick: Babylon

While Babylon may have been met with lukewarm responses, it seems to be a favorite for the production design award with its recreation of classic Hollywood.

Sound

My Prediction: Top Gun: Maverick
My Pick: All Quiet on the Western Front

This race may end up being closer than most people think, but I do believe Top Gun: Maverick will pull out this (and maybe only this) Oscar, even though All Quiet on the Western Front is my favorite and is nipping at its heels.

Original Song

My Prediction: Naatu Naatu (RRR)
My Pick: Naatu Naatu (RRR)

I normally hate picking this category, as I feel that I have a good eye for what makes a film good, but this category is about the quality of the song. That said, this year is an obvious pick as RRR will win the award for it wonderful Naatu Naatu which it’s performance should be a highlight of the evening.

Original Score

My Prediction: Babylon
My Pick: Babylon

I know it’s been losing ground and hasn’t won all the precursors, but I don’t want to live in a world where Justen Hurwitz’s score doesn’t win.

Editing

My Prediction: Everything Everywhere All At Once
My Pick: Everything Everywhere All At Once

As we get closer and closer to Oscar night, it really appears that Everything Everywhere All At Once will walk away from the night with quite the haul of gold statues and editing will be the hallmark that it’s happening.

Cinematography

My Prediction: All Quiet on the Western Front
My Pick: All Quiet on the Western Front

All Quiet on the Western Front is an extremely beautiful film and should run away with the Oscar over Elvis.

Documentary Feature

My Prediction: Navalny
My Pick: All the Beauty and the Bloodshed

Navalny hits well in the current cultural zeitgeist as the war in Ukraine passes the 1-year mark and the discontent with Russia remains at an all time high. I personally loved Laura Poitras’s All the Beauty and the Bloodshed, but it’s odds of winning are very low given the narrative.

Animated Feature

My Prediction: Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio
My Pick: Turning Red

The year that the Disney/ Pixar monopoly on this category will finally come to an end, is the only year that I wish it would win. Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio is a beautiful dark fairytale that is a deserving winner, but I loved the unabashed period allegory that was Pixar’s Turning Red.

International Film

My Prediction: All Quiet on the Western Front
My Pick: The Quiet Girl

This category is getting to be one of the easiest to predict. The picture that receives a bunch of nominations outside of this category will be the one to win, and this year that goes to All Quiet on the Western Front. And while I did very much enjoy that film. Ireland’s pastoral The Quiet Girl moved me in ways that the war film was incapable of.

Adapted Screenplay

My Prediction: Women Talking
My Pick: Women Talking

I really loved Women Talking and was saddened by it’s relative poor performance at this year’s Oscar nominations (though the best picture nod was a welcome surprise). Sarah Polley’s screenplay was the highlight of the film and should result in her winning the Oscar.

Original Screenplay

My Prediction: Everything Everywhere All At Once
My Pick: Everything Everywhere All At Once

With a heavy emphasis on the word “original” Everything Everywhere All At Once will continue its domination of the night by winning a screenplay award.

Supporting Actor

My Prediction: Ke Huy Quan (Everything Everywhere All At Once)
My Pick: Ke Huy Quan (Everything Everywhere All At Once)

Even though he didn’t win all of the precursors (what was that BAFTAs?), the most obvious award of the night goes to Ke Huy Quan for his wonderful performance in Everything Everywhere All At Once.

Supporting Actress

My Prediction: Jamie Lee Curtis (Everything Everywhere All At Once)
My Pick: Kerry Condon (The Banshees of Inisherin)

I just don’t see a Marvel film winning an acting award, and I think Bassett should be happy with just the nomination given how much of a long shot it was. With her win at SAG I think Jamie Lee Curtis is in the best position to win this category even though I personally think Kerry Condon was the best part of Banshees and would love to see her win.

Lead Actor

My Prediction: Austin Butler (Elvis)
My Pick: Paul Mescal (Aftersun)

The 3-way race between Butler, Farrell, and Fraser (my personal choice of Paul Mescal was never in contention) finally comes to an end, and while at many times this looked like Fraser’s to lose, I think the general animosity towards The Whale will end up being his downfall, and the much more loved Elvis will see Austin Butler his first win.

Lead Actress

My Prediction: Michelle Yeoh (Everything Everywhere All At Once)
My Pick: Cate Blanchett (TÁR)

The hardest category to pick this year is Lead Actress where Michelle Yeoh and Cate Blanchett are locked in a 2-horse race for the gold. While I and I believe the majority of Oscar voters believe that Blanchett’s performance was superior, Yeoh being a part of the Best Picture winner (spoiler) and having various narratives on her side will I believe push her over the edge to the win, but I won’t be the least surprised to hear Blanchett’s name called.

Director

My Prediction: Daniel Kwan and Daniel Scheinert (Everything Everywhere All At Once)
My Pick: Todd Field (TÁR)

When Daniels won the DGA, they assured themselves this win. The film is a glorious piece of direction balancing the originality of its script with some spectacular performances. I personally would have voted for TÁR as Todd Field created a deep nuanced feature about the current world, but I don’t begrudge the Daniels their win.

Picture

My Prediction: Everything Everywhere All At Once
My Pick: TÁR

Capping off an award heavy night will be Everything Everywhere All At Once winning the night’s final and biggest award. Some people are trying to predict Top Gun: Maverick as a black sheep contender, but with EEAAO winning PGA, SAG, WGA, and DGA it is all but impossible for anything else to win including my personal favorite TÁR which much like director will lose to the Daniels behemoth.

Oscar Nomination Prediction 2023

The Oscar nominations go live early Tuesday morning, so in the tradition of online movie reviewers, I’m giving my predictions on who will see the nomination.

Best Picture

All Quiet on the Western Front has proven to be the international film that will make this year’s list after it’s stellar performance at the BAFTAs. After that, it’s only the 10 slot with a big question mark. My heart wants Women Talking, but my brain thinks this year women directors will find themselves shut out.

  1. Everything Everywhere All At Once
  2. The Banshees of Inisherin
  3. The Fabelmans
  4. TÁR
  5. Elvis
  6. Top Gun: Maverick
  7. Avatar: The Way of Water
  8. All Quiet on the Western Front
  9. The Whale
  10. Triangle of Sadness

Best Director – The top 4 are all locks, and again after the BAFTA nomination performance, it’s hard to count out Edward Berger as the final slot. Another unfortunate major category without a women included (sorry Sara Polley and Charlotte Welles).

  1. Daniels – Everything Everywhere All At Once
  2. Todd Field – TÁR
  3. Steven Spielberg – The Fabelmans
  4. Martin McDonagh – The Banshees of Inisherin
  5. Edward Berger – All Quiet on the Western Front

Best Actress

After the big 2 up top, the rest of the slots could give. Deadwyler gave a performance more than worthy of her slot, but the question is how many people saw Til? Michelle Williams used to be a lock, but some poor showings in prior awards nominations puts her on the chopping block, but I assume we’ll see her on Tuesday morning. With the last slot, I’m guessing Viola Davis will get in over Ana de Armas in the reviled Blonde, and Margot Robbie in Babylon (which would be my personal pick for the 5th slot).

  1. Cate Blanchett – TÁR
  2. Michelle Yeoh – Everything Everywhere All At Once
  3. Danielle Deadwyler – Til
  4. Michelle Williams – The Fabelmans
  5. Viola Davis – The Woman King

Best Actor – Another category with 4 slots locked up, the question comes to the 5th slot. While most outlets are predicting a Tom Cruise nomination for Top Gun: Maverick, I feel this will be the lone acknowledgement for the best film of the year with Paul Mescal sneaking in for Aftersun.

  1. Brendan Fraser – The Whale
  2. Colin Farrell – The Banshees of Inisherin
  3. Austin Butler – Elvis
  4. Bill Nighy – Living
  5. Paul Mescal – Aftersun

Best Supporting Actress – An interesting batch this year, I’d call the first 4 relatively safe, but anything could happen in this category. The big question mark is who will take that last slot with Stephanie Hsu attempting to get Everything Everywhere All At Once two nominations in this category, but I’m going with Dolly De Leon from Triangle of Sadness.

  1. Kerry Condon – The Banshees of Inisherin
  2. Hong Chau – The Whale
  3. Jamie Lee Curtis – Everything Everywhere All At Once
  4. Angel Bassett – Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
  5. Dolly De Leon – Triangle of Sadness

Best Supporting Actor

Ke Huy Quan is the easiest bet for a win now. The Banshees of Inisherin look to be a lock to get 2 nominations in with Gleeson and Keoghan both looking obvious. The main question in this category is the 5th slot, which will be a large step down from the top 4. It’s looking now like Eddie Redmayne (who I still secretly can’t stand after his The Danish Girl performance) will provide The Good Nurse with it’s only nomination of the night.

  1. Ke Huy Quan – Everything Everywhere All At Once
  2. Brendan Gleeson – The Banshees of Inisherin
  3. Barry Keoghan – the Banshees of Inisherin
  4. Paul Dano – The Fabelmans
  5. Eddie Redmayne – The Good Nurse

Best International Feature Film – An interesting category this year, The top 3 slots are pretty much a given (and their order is as well). I’m predicting a bit of an upset with Corsage, but I think a stellar performance from Vicky Krieps will propel the film into the conversation.

  1. All Quiet on the Wester Front
  2. Decision to Leave
  3. Argentina, 1985
  4. The Quiet Girl
  5. Corsage

Best Animated Feature

Another category with 4 slots locked in. The 5th slot could go to a variety of options, but I’m putting faith in GKIDS to get a foreign film into the category with Inu-Oh (it helps that I really connected with the film). I see it just beating out Wendell & Wild for the slot.

  1. Tuillermo Del Toro’s Pinocchio
  2. Turning Red
  3. Marcel the Shell with Shoes On
  4. Puss in Boots: The Last Wish
  5. Inu-Oh

Best Documentary Feature – The real question with this category is whether the voting block will break their unofficial veto on musical documentaries to nominate the wonderfully innovative Moonage Daydream. If it doesn’t get in look to The Territory or Descendant to fill the last slot.

  1. All The Beauty and the Bloodshed
  2. Fire of Love
  3. All that Breathes
  4. Navalny
  5. Moonage Daydream

Best Original Screenplay – All of my predictions for this category show up above in my best picture guesses, with Elvis being the lone film on the outside looking out (it is much more about the imagery than the writing). It’s hard to imagine any other film breaking into this category with Babylon and Aftersun looking quite a way up from the 6 and 7 slots.

  1. Everything Everywhere All At Once
  2. The Banshees of Inisherin
  3. The Fabelmans
  4. TÁR
  5. Triangle of Sadness

Best Adapted Screenplay

The category for Sarah Polley’s revenge after being snubbed in the above categories. All Quiet on the Western Front will continue it’s post BAFTA dominance as an international film. The 5th slot will likely go to Living even though She Said found a surprising BAFTA nomination.

  1. Women Talking
  2. The Whale
  3. Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery
  4. All Quiet on the Western Front
  5. Living

Best Cinematography – This is the hardest category to predict with the precursor awards being all over the place. Top Gun: Maverick is the only lock with the other 4 being any of about a dozen options. I leaned closer to the films that would receive a bunch of nominations, but don’t be surprised if films like Bardo: False Chronicle of a Handful of Truths, Empire of Light, and The Batman find their way in.

  1. Top Gun: Maverick
  2. All Quiet on the Western Front
  3. Avatar: The Way of Water
  4. The Fabelmans
  5. Elvis

Best Editing – Similar to Cinematography, this category is pretty wide open. The top 2 are obvious but after that it opens wide up. Elvis, All Quiet on the Western Front, and The Fabelmans all fall into the category of most-editing equals best-editing which Academy voters tend to fall for.

  1. Top Gun: Maverick
  2. Everything Everywhere All At Once
  3. Elvis
  4. All Quiet on the Western Front
  5. The Fabelmans

Best Production Design

The first category that the commercial flop though visually stunning Babylon has a real chance in, and it is a frontrunner.  The rest of the category is filled with Oscar favorites for other categories.

  1. Babylon
  2. Avatar: The Way of Water
  3. Elvis
  4. All Quiet on the Western Front
  5. The Fabelmans

Best Sound – The consolidation of the sound category makes it much easier to guess, and this year the top 5 seem pretty solid, though I guess The Batman could sneak in if the Academy really takes to that film.

  1. Top Gun: Maverick
  2. Avatar: The Way of Water
  3. All Quiet on the Western Front
  4. Everything Everywhere All At Once
  5. Elvis

Best Visual Effects

The backlash on Marvel movies appears to be strong in this branch this year between the VES and BAFTAs shutting out Black Panther: Wakanda Forever and Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Maddness. So that leaves the 5th slot wide open. I’m taking a wild guess on the slot and predicting an upset from Nope.

  1. Avatar: The Way of Water
  2. All Quiet on the Western Front
  3. Top Gun: Maverick
  4. The Batman
  5. Nope

Best Original Score – This is Justin Horowitz category to lose and finds Babylon locked for the top slot. My main question for this category goes to the last slot. John Williams may seem like the obvious pick for The Fabelmans, but I have to go with the most atmospheric and innovative score of the year in Volker Bertelmann’s work for All Quiet on the Western Front.

  1. Babylon
  2. Guillermo Del Toro’s Pinocchio
  3. Women Talking
  4. The Banshees of Inisherin
  5. All Quiet on the Western Front

Best Costume Design – Is now where I admit that I haven’t seen Black Panther: Wakanda Forever yet? Regardless I have to go with the expects and put this as the front runner. Mrs. Harris Goes to Paris gets in with the “only for costumes” slot that pop up once every year or two, and sits around some heavy Oscar contenders. As mediocre as it was, don’t be surprised if Amsterdam finds its way into one of these slots on Tuesday.

  1. Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
  2. Elvis
  3. Babylon
  4. Mrs. Harris Goes to Paris
  5. The Woman King

Best Makeup and Hairstyling

Makeup and Hairstyling tends to be all about the prosthetics and my high contenders all make substantial use of them. Crimes of the Future might be a long shot at my number 5, but I just feel in my ear covered body that it will get in.

  1. The Whale
  2. Elvis
  3. Amsterdam
  4. The Batman
  5. Crimes of the Future

Best Original Song – Time for my standard “I’m not a music critic” stance, but this year’s list of songs seem pretty easy to guess with the RRR sensation “Naatu Naatu” looking like an easy frontrunner. Diane Warren will continue her undeniable streak at the Oscars and will force me to watch a film I’ve never heard of before in Tell it Like a Woman.

  1. “Naatu Naatu” – RRR
  2. “Hold My Hand” – Top Gun: Maverick
  3. “Lift Me up” – Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
  4. “Applause” – Tell it Like a Woman
  5. “Ciao Papa” – Guillermo Del Toro’s Pinocchio

Best Narrative Short/ Animated Short/ Documentary Short – I haven’t seen these films and can’t make a comment.

The Best Films of 2022

It’s list time again! I love films and I love sharing my love of films with others. As I’ve done for the past decade, I’ve put together a list of what I consider to be the best films of the year that just ended. This was a rather average year for film. I genuinely adore my number one film, but the rest of the list is primarily a 3 ½ to 4-star level, so good to great, but not exceptional. Of the films on this list, 8 of them were directed by women, which while not as high of a percentage as I strive for, it substantially beats the industry average which continues to hover around 10% penetration for women. As always, living in Seattle there are some films that don’t make it out here in time, so films which may have made this list, but I was unable to view include: The Blue Caftan, Broker, Close, Joyland, Living, No Bears, One Fine Morning, Return to Seoul, Saint Omer, and Women Talking. Now without further ado, the list.

25. Triangle of Sadness (Dir. Ruben Östlund)

Swedish director Ruben Östlund follows up his Palme d’Or winning The Square with another Palme winning condemnation of the rich in Triangle of Sadness. The film is broken into three parts, and each elevates the prior while becoming more and more class conscious. The highlight sequence is what the trailer made infamous, a stormy night on a yacht ends in the repeated vomiting of the rich guests all while the captain (played by Woody Harrelson), seemingly unaffected by the turbulence, quotes Marx over the intercom to the highly capitalist boarders.

24. After Yang (Dir. Kogonada)

Five years after his debut film Columbus, director Kogonada returns with After Yang, a film just as deliberate and ponderous as his previous work, but this time with a science fiction twist. The film takes place in the near future where a family A.I. stops working and a man’s journey to fix it. The film uses this journey to turn a mirror on the human condition from the viewpoint of an impartial observer. Colin Farrell continues to deliver stellar performances in off kilter science-fiction films (think his work with Yorgos Lanthimos), and After Yang might be his best yet.

23. Turning Red (Dir. Domee Shi)

Disney and Pixar have frustrated me over the past handful of years. The story telling which had been a strength of Pixar in general had gotten stale as the same voices created film after film. Thankfully Turning Red changes things up by looking to the up-and-coming Domee Shi (known for the short film Bao) for direction. The film is an unabashed first period allegory, and its honesty about the embarrassing moments in any true coming of age story is heartwarming from a studio that can often feel too polished.

22. Elvis (Dir. Baz Luhrmann)

As a rule, I don’t love, or even really like, the music biopics that have been in vogue the last few years, but Elvis has director Baz Luhrmann as a wild card to elevate the film from the tired genre. Luhrmann’s films all have a frenetic energy and Elvis is no different. The film makes use of an extremely short average shot length to heighten the story of the rock star’s life. Austin Butler gives a miraculous performance as the legendary singer, and Tom Hanks gives a memorable, though debatable if good, performance as well.

21. Inu-Oh (Dir. Masaaki Yuasa)

Part anime folk tale, part larger-than-life rock opera, Inu-Oh was the best 2022 animation had to offer (Guillermo Del Toro’s Pinocchio just misses this list). The film combines beautiful hand-drawn animations with a soundtrack of hair metal inspired jams that is surprisingly catchy despite being entirely in Japanese. The film does start a bit slow before the two main characters meet, but once they do its nonstop sensory bombardment is a joy to behold. An innovative take on the power of storytelling Inu-Oh captivates the imagination.

20. The Fabelmans (Dir. Steven Spielberg)

From a craft standpoint, The Fabelmans is unimpeachable. The editing is exquisite and the cinematography brilliant. Michelle Williams is the obvious standout actor as the highly emotional matriarch of the Fabelman family. The energy she brings to the family dynamic provides much of the conflict for the film, and a less ambitious performance would not have served the film nearly as well. The only think keeping The Fabelmans so low on this list is that the script comes off awfully self-aggrandizing. Spielberg may be a genius, but one would hope he had the humility to not boastfully declare himself so.

19. Hit the Road (Dir. Panah Panahi)

First time filmmaker Panah Panahi (he previously worked as an Editor on the Jafar Panahi film 3 Faces) created a wonderfully personal story of a family on a road trip to say goodbye to the eldest son. The three other family members maintain a highly chaotic energy throughout the trip in the face of the upcoming loss. These energetic dispositions allow a lot of introspection into the lives of these people and creates a loving picture of a family on the precipice of a major change.

18. Babylon (Dir. Damien Chazelle)

Damien Chazelle’s most ambitious and messiest film is a depiction of Hollywood excess and debauchery during the rise of the talkie films. Babylon is the most uneven film to make my year end list, but when the film is on, it’s one of the best films of the year. The first half of the film in general left me speechless by its adoration for what Hollywood can be. Margot Robbie while already a star proves she deserves the honorific. Even when the film slows down, the driving beats and squawking horns that make up the best score of the year leave the film in the highest regards. It is only a monumentally awful ending that keeps Babylon so low on this list.

17. Fire of Love (dir. Sara Dosa)

The first of this year’s documentaries to make my list, Fire of Love is as much an informative documentary on the destructive power of volcanoes as it is a heart wrenching love story of two soul mates who died doing what they loved together. Fire of Love is full of warmth from focusing so intently on the Krafft couple. Miranda July lends her unique voice to the film as narrator and transforms the film into something deeply emotional, but while the love story is what stands forward, the dangerous reality of the couple’s occupation is never forgotten.

16. EO (Dir. Jerzy Skolimowski)

The spiritual successor to 1966’s Au hazard Balthazar (dir. Robert Bresson) EO is simply a story of a donkey. Despite the almost complete lack of dialogue, EO is a highly scripted film. Director Jerzy Skolimowski does not seek to tell the story of a random donkey but a very specific, fictional donkey who is constantly given the power to roam the countryside and find various slice of life vignettes. Through the eyes of the animal Skolimowski turns the camera on Eastern European culture. A deeply heartwarming film EO deserves to be spoken of with its predecessor.

15. Cow (Dir. Andrea Arnold)

Andrea Arnold (American Honey and Fish Tank) leaves the world of narrative film making to make her first documentary in Cow. The storytelling Arnold achieves using no dialogue and no human actors is commendable. Cow 29 (we’re never given a name aside from the branding on the left butt cheek) lives the tragic story of a cow forced to give birth and then separated from her offspring. While normal for a dairy cow, Arnold knows that the audience won’t be able to help but personify the girl and feel for her as they would a human in the same situation. All this is done with nothing but closeup photography and careful editing.

14. The Northman (Dir. Robert Eggers)

Revenge tales have been around for decades, but while most use an awful circumstance as a basis for delivering later catharsis, The Northman subverts this formula and focuses on the self-destructive nature inherent in making revenge your only goal in life. Alexander Skarsgård expertly captures this desperation and believably refuses to acknowledge the reality of the situation that has motivated his entire life. Eggers combines this innovative take on the revenge film with his immaculate style to create a fully unique piece of filmmaking.

13. Avatar: The Way of Water (Dir. James Cameron)

Spider as a character didn’t work for me, I didn’t buy Sigourney Weaver as a teenager, and Neytiri was completely wasted, but when it comes to what people expect of an Avatar sequel, the spectacle, The Way of Water delivers and then some. Pandora is once again realized in perfect clarity, and the movement to the water for this sequel just makes the visuals more impressive. This combined with 3D the best it has ever looked create a cinema watching experience that is unmatched.

12. All Quiet on the Western Front (Dir. Edward Berger)

French auteur François Truffaut is credited with saying that “there’s no such thing as an anti-war film.” The implication being that any depiction of war would inherently glorify it. 2022’s All Quiet on the Western Front argues the opposite as every moment of this beautiful film makes war seem completely miserable. This is accomplished not only with meticulously crafted visuals, but with a year’s best sound design creating a hellish soundscape through the non-diegetic decisions highlighted by the eerie Volker Bertelmann score.

11. Armageddon Time (Dir. James Gray)

A small yet deeply personal coming-of-age tale about a young boy growing up on the right side of the tracks witnessing the difficulties of his friend on the other side. Paul (Banks Repeta). a young jewish boy, finds a comradery with Johnny (Jaylin Webb), a young black boy, as they both find themselves in constant trouble at school. Through their friendship, Paul comes to terms with the racism that’s still heavily present in 1980 America. While this could take on a preachy tone, Gray centers the viewpoint on Paul who is wide-eyed enough to keep the film full of innocence.

10. All the Beauty and the Bloodshed (Dir. Laura Poitras)

A stunning documentary about both the life and current activism of photographer Nan Goldin. Untwisting the two throughlines, it is clear that Nan agreed to the documentary as a way to amplify her fight against the Sackler family and their contribution to the ever-growing opioid epidemic that ravishes the country. Through that access though Laura Poitras is able to bring to light the decades long work of one of the nation’s most important cultural photographers. Poitras blends these two topics seemingly only connected through Nan herself in a way that provides more power to them both.

9. Decision to Leave (Dir. Park Chan-wook)

Park Chan-wook’s foray into neo-noir filmmaking proves that he is a master of all genres with a darker hint to them. Decision to Leave employs many of the genre’s staples: it stars a grizzled detective who falls in love with a femme fatal while attempting to solve a case she is related to. What the film utilizes that separates it from a sea of neo-noirs is a deft hand with melodrama. The melodrama never feels saccharine in Chan-wook’s hands, but they do elevate the attachment to characters and intrigue of the mystery.

8. The Quiet Girl (Dir. Colm Bairéad)

The Quiet Girl follows Cáit (Catherine Clinch) one of many siblings living in an overstuffed and impoverished household. Neglected by her family, she struggles in school and altogether lives a poor life. It’s only upon going to spend the summer with distant relatives that she is shown what love is and she begins to flourish. Watching Cáit slowly accept love into her life and emerge from her shell is the highlight of the film. The Quiet Girl manages to capture warmth and familial love in an extremely special way.

7. She Said (Dir. Maria Schrader)

Just as good if not better than Spotlight in my opinion. By centering the film on women reporters and victims, She Said enhances the Oscar winning, investigative journalism film by adding a deeper sense of heart. Zoe Kazan is excellent as the lead reporter Jodi Kantor and plays up the reporter in over her head quite well. Her performance is supported perfectly by Carey Mulligan’s more experienced and hard-edged Megan Twohey. Together they deliver a powerful one-two punch in this important retelling of recent history. Special callout to Nicholas Britell and Caitlin Sullivan who put out one of the best scores of the year even if it appears they won’t be getting any awards recognition for it.

6. Everything Everywhere All at Once (Dir. Daniel Scheinert and Daniel Kwan)

In their combined follow up to Swiss Army Man (2016) (Daniel Scheinert did have 2019’s The Death of Dick Long as a solo film in between), Daniels delivered a film just as if not more heightened than their feature debut, yet somehow more relatable to the mainstream. Everything Everywhere All at Once hinges on the performance of its lead Michelle Yeoh to take audiences on a journey to the edge of the world and to worlds beyond that. Yeoh delivers on those lofty goals and creates a perfect viewer conduit for the wild imaginations of Daniels.

5. Girl Picture (Dir. Alli Haapasalo)

I don’t have a great explanation for why this Finnish lesbian romance is so high on my list, but upon leaving the theater after watching it I was all smiles. The film’s focus on female friendship and a young lesbian romance was refreshing in a heteronormative movie landscape. Mimmi‘s (Aamu Milonoff) volatile nature as she gets in fights at school, messes around at work, and falls in and out and back in love make her the standout performance, but all three young leads are remarkable in their honesty.

4. Vortex (Dir. Gaspar Noé)

If provocateur Gaspar Noé releases a film it will indubitably make my year end list, and Vortex is no different, even though this one has a much more somber tone than his standard fair. The film utilizes a unique dual screen setup to capture the day-to-day goings on of a couple dealing with the women’s onset of Alzheimer’s disease. Notably, Italian auteur Dario Argento plays one of the leads in a stunning declaration that he can act just as well as make excellent films. Like many of Noé’s films Vortex is a brutal watching, this time just for more emotional reasons.

3. TÁR (Dir. Todd Field)

I’m an auteurist at heart, I believe most films are a product of their director first and foremost, but TÁR is one of those few exceptions. TÁR is 100% Cate Blanchett’s film. The film focuses on one of our greatest working actors for the entire three-hour duration of the film while she slowly begins to reckon with the decisions she’s made over the course of her career. Blanchett’s perfectly captures the fictional composer who exudes charisma while preparing for a new performance and pursuing affairs.

2. The Eternal Daughter (Dir. Joanna Hogg)

The third feature in director Joanna Hogg’s Souvenir series adopts a more mysterious tone than its grounded predecessors. It also trades a mother daughter casting choice of Tilda Swinton and Honor Swinton Byrne for dual roles for Tilda as both mother and daughter. While the film is full of Hogg’s trademark slow conversations with meaning carefully hidden behind meticulously chosen dialogue, the aforementioned changes lead to a single static shot that’s the most emotional moments of the year (at least that doesn’t come from the next film).

1. Aftersun (Dir. Charlotte Wells)

Number one with a bullet, the directorial debut of Charlotte Wells is a meandering memory captured largely on standard def camcorder. What makes Aftersun so special is the underlying emotionality of the film. What may look like just home movies of a father/daughter trip to a Turkish resort takes on a much deeper meaning because of the implications of the present. It’s likely that this is the last time the two main characters ever saw each other and witnessing their personal mostly, but not completely, hidden feelings feels like prying into things which should never be shared. Calum (Paul Mescal) is doing everything in his power to create a wonderful memory for Sophie (newcomer Frankie Corio), but his personal dramas have a way of seeping out in a way that affects Sophie for years to come. Aftersun is the best cinema had to offer this year, and is the best film of the young decade thus far.

2022 Oscar Predictions and Picks

I love the Oscars. For the past five years, I have made it my goal to watch every single film nominated for an Oscar, and this year I finished with a week to spare. In time for Sunday’s ceremony, here are my predictions and my personal picks for this year’s event.

Visual Effects

My Prediction: Dune
My Pick: Dune; Would I pick a non-nominated film? No

A lot of the technical awards are going to be easy Dune picks and predictions. The film is beautiful and much of that comes from the visual effects.

Costume

My Prediction: Cruella
My Pick: Cruella; Would I pick a non-nominated film? No

While I didn’t love Cruella as a film, the creative costuming throughout the film, especially as Cruella was making her name are fetes to behold and are a good choice for a winner.

Makeup and Hairstyling

My Prediction: The Eyes of Tammy Faye
My Pick: Cruella; Would I pick a non-nominated film? Yes – Spencer

Makeup and Hairstyling tends to be highly correlated with prosthetic usage, and while I think that trend will continue with The Eyes of Tammy Faye, I don’t believe the prosthetics looked especially convincing. I would personally recognize the unnominated Spencer for it’s excellent natural looks transforming Kristen Stewart into princess Diana.

Production Design

My Prediction: Dune
My Pick: Dune; Would I pick a non-nominated film? Yes – The French Dispatch

Another technical win that should be a sure thing for Dune, but in a year in which Wes Anderson directed a movie, it feels wrong not to give it to The French Dispatch.

Sound

My Prediction: Dune
My Pick: Dune; Would I pick a non-nominated film? No

Another easy to predict and well-deserved technical category for Dune to run away with.

Original Song

My Prediction: No Time to Die (No Time to Die)
My Pick: No Time to Die (No Time to Die); Would I pick a non-nominated film? No

I hate picking this category. I feel that I have a good eye for what makes a film good, but this category is about the quality of the song, the movie is an afterthought. That said, this year is a pretty easy pick of the most recent Bond themes, No Time To Die by Billie Eilish.

Original Score

My Prediction: Dune
My Pick: The Power of the Dog; Would I pick a non-nominated film? No

Jonny Greenwood’s other worldly scores are not the type that may resonate with the academy, but the mood inducing musical snippets were the perfect accompaniment for Jane Campion’s neo-western. Instead, I think the academy is much more likely to embrace the more standard Hans Zimmer score for Dune.

Editing

My Prediction: Dune
My Pick: The Power of the Dog; Would I pick a non-nominated film? No

Another technical award that I anticipate Dune walking away with at the end of the night, but I believe that The Power of the Dog has a much more subtle but effective editing technique. Every shot in the later film feels personally plucked to build the mood and accentuate each character.

Cinematography

My Prediction: Dune
My Pick: The Power of the Dog; Would I pick a non-nominated film? No

Similar to Editing, Cinematography is another technical category that will go to Dune, and not unwarrantedly, but I personally found more joy in the quieter craft work of The Power of the Dog.

Short Film, Live Action

My Prediction: The Long Goodbye
My Pick: The Dress; Would I pick a non-nominated film? No

This category tends to go to the most heavy-handed message film, and The Long Goodbye fills that quota for the year. The Dress was the more nuanced film that I’d love to see win, but will sadly lose to the more forceful short.

Short Film, Animated

My Prediction: Robin Robin
My Pick: Bestia; Would I pick a non-nominated film? No

Robin Robin is a cute, animated, animal film and will likely win because of that. Bestia on the other hand asks much more of the audience but delivers a richer experience for those willing to meet the film where it is at.

Short Film, Documentary

My Prediction: Audible
My Pick: Audible; Would I pick a non-nominated film? No

Gold Derby may not agree with my prediction, but in the year of CODA I find it hard to believe that Audible, the short film about a deaf high school football team wouldn’t resonate with voting academy members. It doesn’t hurt that it is the best film of the bunch either.

Documentary Feature

My Prediction: Summer of Soul
My Pick: Flee; Would I pick a non-nominated film? No

Summer of Soul is an excellent concert documentary expertly edited to include historical context with amazing performances. The film is an masterwork of editing, but Flee is the stronger overall film.

Animated Feature

My Prediction: Encanto
My Pick: Flee; Would I pick a non-nominated film? No

The Disney/ Pixar monopoly on this category has become a little ridiculous. Encanto was the best they put out this year and as such is the odds-on favorite to win, but Flee used the medium to tell a story that couldn’t be told any other way. The documentary telling the life story of a refugee was heartbreaking and would win from a fairer academy.

International Film

My Prediction: Drive My Car
My Pick: Drive My Car; Would I pick a non-nominated film? No

In any other year, the wonderful The Worst Person in the World would be an easy frontrunner with its Best Original Screenplay nomination boosting its name recognition, but this year both the Academy and I will agree that Drive My Car is just a little bit better. It is hard to bet against any international film that also has a Best Picture nominee, and the slow burn meditation on grief will justifiably take home the award at the end of the night.

Adapted Screenplay

My Prediction: CODA
My Pick: The Power of the Dog; Would I pick a non-nominated film? No

The Power of the Dog is too subtle for its own good to win this category. The deliberate pacing that Campion uses in creating the slow burn drama shows incredible restraint and precision in screenwriting. Such finesse is likely to be overlooked in favor of the more traditional plot structure Sian Heder implements in CODA.

Original Screenplay

My Prediction: Belfast
My Pick: Licorice Pizza; Would I pick a non-nominated film? No

Belfast is a middling film that seems to have an unending supply of good graces in its corner. That support will once again block Paul Thomas Anderson from receiving his first Oscar for a tightly delivered coming of age comedy that deserved to have its screenplay recognized.

Supporting Actor

My Prediction: Troy Kotsur (CODA)
My Pick: Kodi Smit-McPhee (The Power of the Dog); Would I pick a non-nominated film? No

Early this season this award seemed to be a given for Smit-McPhee, but now everything points towards Troy Kotsur. Kotsur did a great job, but I feel like he was limited by the simplicity of the screenplay. Smit-McPhee on the other hand really got to show off his acting chops with the nuanced role of Peter Gordon in The Power of the Dog.

Supporting Actress

My Prediction: Ariana DeBose (West Side Story)
My Pick: Kirsten Dunst (The Power of the Dog); Would I pick a non-nominated film? No

Ariana DeBose is the easiest prediction of the night. She has won everything up until now, and it will be no surprise when she takes home Oscar Gold. That said, I think Kiki’s performance in The Power of the Dog had an otherworldly quality to it that moved me more than any other supporting performance this year.

Lead Actor

My Prediction: Will Smith (King Richard)
My Pick: Benedict Cumberbatch (The Power of the Dog); Would I pick a non-nominated film? Yes – Peter Dinklage (Cyrano)

Will Smith seems to be running away with this award because like normal the Academy is confusing “best” with “most”. Smith’s Richard Williams is certainly the most acted performance of the year, and while it is not bad, it is not what I would choose as the best. For best I would personally vote for the much quieter performance by Benedict Cumberbatch in The Power of the Dog, or if an option the wonderfully emotional rendition of the titular Cyrano by Peter Dinklage.

Lead Actress

My Prediction: Jessica Chastain (The Eyes of Tammy Faye)
My Pick: Kristen Stewart (Spencer); Would I pick a non-nominated film? No

This category has been a mess to predict all award season. I personally believe Kristen Stewart put in the best performance (by quite a large margin) as the troubled Princess Diana on the verge of a nervous breakdown, and she seemed like the early frontrunner. After a series of nomination snubs however it seems more likely that another actress would take the win and treading lately is Jessica Chastain for the mediocre film The Eyes of Tammy Faye.

Director

My Prediction: Jane Campion (The Power of the Dog)
My Pick: Jane Campion (The Power of the Dog); Would I pick a non-nominated film? No

While the winds have largely moved away from The Power of the Dog, and Campion’s speech at the Critics Choice Awards didn’t do her any help, this award is still going to go to Campion for her phenomenal directing work. The film succeeds primarily because of the controlled approach of Campion’s direction.

Picture

My Prediction: CODA
My Pick: Drive My Car; Would I pick a non-nominated film? No

I’m buying into the late surge that last weekend foretold and predicting a CODA win over The Power of The Dog. I think CODA is a really good film (I would rank it right in the middle of the best picture nominees), but it didn’t blow me away like a few films did this year. The film that left me speechless after viewing it, that I would have voted for best picture is the three-hour slow burn masterpiece that was Ryûsuke Hamaguchi’s Drive My Car. That film’s deliberate pacing to contemplate grief will stick with me for years to come.